NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	80		Excitement	2.9 [1157]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +8.4%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	1.1 [1178]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -6.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	73%	0.09	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jabari Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Damone Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	53%	-0.00	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Vonteego Cummings	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alvin Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	5	29%	-0.04	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	4	110%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	61%	0.08	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	48%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	14	53%	0.06	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	-0.01	1	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.04	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	3	30%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.5	32.3	19.4	25.7	3.6	37.0	145.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.8%

IND +10.8%

IND +14.0%

PHI -0.5%

PHI -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	16.6	15.6	90.9	117.0	102.3
season	15.9	15.3		99.3	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		100.9	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	21.6	16.6	16.2	12.0	16.2
IND	17.2	18.5	16.5	14.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vonteego Cummings	16	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.16	-6	-17	11	10.1	17.5	-7.39	13.4	17.4	-4.00
Jabari Smith	50	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-22	21	13.6	19.6	-6.05	17.1	15.8	1.35
Raja Bell	37	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.16	-9	-14	5	12.8	18.6	-5.80	16.0	16.9	-0.94
Damone Brown	33	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.24	-13	-10	-3	13.5	17.8	-4.25	15.0	17.5	-2.44
Samuel Dalembert	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	-13	3	14.4	17.7	-3.38	17.0	16.2	0.77
Speedy Claxton	40	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-17	11	15.0	17.1	-2.10	18.1	15.5	2.58
Matt Harpring	54	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-15	7	18.0	13.3	4.74	17.2	15.7	1.49
Alvin Jones	28	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.22	-19	-4	-15	18.4	15.1	3.31	14.4	17.6	-3.20
Eric Snow	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.00	-12	-11	-1	18.5	13.3	5.22	17.3	15.7	1.60
Aaron McKie	49	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-8	-7	18.9	12.8	6.06	17.0	15.9	1.07
Derrick McKey	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-7	-9	19.6	12.7	6.89	16.6	16.5	0.07

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	57	58	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	6	11	17.3	15.1	2.20	18.2	12.2	6.02
Reggie Miller	49	48	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.07	18	5	13	16.4	16.7	-0.24	18.4	13.5	4.85
Kevin Ollie	48	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.23	20	3	17	16.0	17.2	-1.13	14.0	18.7	-4.70
Jeff Foster	32	30	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.24	19	4	15	16.5	16.6	-0.09	15.7	16.4	-0.76
Metta World Peace	50	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	9	5	16.9	16.2	0.70	17.7	14.1	3.65
Jonathan Bender	42	43	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	16	-9	17.6	15.6	2.03	15.6	16.8	-1.20
Brad Miller	44	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	16	-9	16.8	16.3	0.48	18.5	13.8	4.75
Jamaal Tinsley	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	20	-17	17.2	16.0	1.13	18.7	14.0	4.70
Ron Mercer	33	34	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	18	-13	15.5	17.2	-1.72	12.1	18.7	-6.65
Bruno Sundov	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	14.1	17.0	-2.91	10.5	17.1	-6.57
Primoz Brezec	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	13.4	17.0	-3.56	9.5	17.0	-7.53
Austin Croshere	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	23	-23	16.2	16.7	-0.50	12.0	17.6	-5.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
WAS 87, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
GSW 113, MIN 129	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%