NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	113		Excitement	3.5 [1056]		MVP	Cherokee Parks (MIN): +11.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	129		Comeback	1.1 [1024]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -6.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	0.00	0.09	31	66%	0.13	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Joe Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	15	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	15	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	22	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	25%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.01	16	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.01	0.06	11	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	15	70%	0.10	1	-0.01	10	80%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.03	5	117%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	17	62%	0.08	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.17	0.01	-0.10	16	31%	-0.04	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	0.8	23.5	14.6	26.8	2.4	30.6	122.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.7%

MIN +6.0%

GSW -0.1%

MIN +8.2%

GSW -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	12.9	15.6	110.8	124.0	102.5
season	15.6	14.8		92.9	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.0		104.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.2	16.8	14.0	14.4	15.1
MIN	12.5	11.5	14.2	13.3	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	16	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-25	34	18.6	14.5	4.17	8.9	13.5	-4.64
Dickey Simpkins	15	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-19	22	15.7	15.0	0.66	13.9	12.7	1.24
Adonal Foyle	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-11	6	14.9	15.2	-0.26	12.2	13.0	-0.84
Carl Thomas	15	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-16	16	14.8	15.2	-0.36	11.5	13.1	-1.63
Felton Spencer	25	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-10	4	14.1	15.4	-1.31	13.1	12.8	0.37
Duane Ferrell	16	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-10	4	13.4	15.4	-1.98	12.7	12.9	-0.15
B.J. Armstrong	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-16	16	15.3	15.0	0.29	13.7	12.5	1.18
Bimbo Coles	74	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	0	-16	15.0	15.3	-0.29	12.5	13.7	-1.18
Donyell Marshall	73	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-3	-10	15.2	14.9	0.30	12.7	13.3	-0.56
Latrell Sprewell	87	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	0	-16	15.2	14.8	0.36	13.1	11.5	1.63
Joe Smith	78	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-5	-6	15.0	15.3	-0.29	13.0	12.5	0.54
Erick Dampier	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	3	-22	15.0	15.4	-0.41	13.7	11.6	2.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	84	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	-3	22	12.7	13.5	-0.77	15.7	12.5	3.17
Cherokee Parks	86	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	0	16	12.8	13.3	-0.55	15.5	13.5	1.95
Sam Mitchell	38	38	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	5	6	12.1	13.3	-1.25	15.5	14.9	0.67
Terry Porter	44	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	9	-2	12.0	13.5	-1.52	15.4	14.9	0.47
Stephon Marbury	82	82	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	4	8	13.6	10.1	3.53	14.9	15.8	-0.86
Chris Carr	62	62	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	6	4	13.3	12.2	1.07	15.3	14.8	0.42
Tom Gugliotta	81	79	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	12	-8	13.6	10.2	3.47	14.6	16.8	-2.16
Reggie Jordan	15	15	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	11	-6	10.9	13.2	-2.35	16.3	14.9	1.44
Stanley Roberts	23	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	18	-20	12.4	13.0	-0.62	12.6	15.8	-3.21
DeJuan Wheat	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	9.0	13.1	-4.07	8.5	15.4	-6.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 80, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
VAN 72, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIL 105, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.6%