inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 105 Excitement3.2 [1149] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +9.6%
Denver Nuggets 114 Comeback1.2 [1160] LVPLuke Ridnour (MIL): -9.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.000.03579%0.051-0.02475%-0.00
Joe Alexander0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.011254%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Charlie Bell0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.12-0.000.101862%0.031-0.014100%0.02
Tyronn Lue0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02550%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.021055%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02942%0.011-0.02650%-0.01
Austin Croshere-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.080.000.111161%-0.0200.00683%-0.01
Malik Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.021100%0.024-0.0600%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01450%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.090,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.000.00642%-0.024-0.0700%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.00-0.031059%0.111-0.019100%0.04
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.160.010.07976%0.132-0.041587%0.02
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.01861%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Renaldo Balkman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.02662%0.062-0.034100%0.01
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.04762%0.0400.001050%-0.03
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.02560%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Nene0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.02872%0.062-0.03250%-0.01
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02671%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Cheikh Samb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02325%-0.0100.002100%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.100.00-0.06731%-0.013-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game33.22.329.415.427.42.432.6142.7
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +25.0%
DEN +15.8%
DEN +1.3%
DEN +6.6%
DEN +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDENNBAMILDENNBA
this game15.514.015.5108.2116.3106.4
season15.014.4104.9109.5
opponent15.715.6105.2105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL17.317.413.913.715.5
DEN13.412.615.514.514.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Gadzuric1313-0.03-0.470.45-0.061-101116.115.40.6413.514.1-0.64
Malik Allen2627-0.03-0.470.44-0.247-162313.816.1-2.2914.114.00.13
Austin Croshere3738-0.11-0.390.28-0.265-141915.115.8-0.7213.614.3-0.68
Richard Jefferson4646-0.17-0.330.15-0.06-4-5114.916.1-1.2514.813.41.40
Tyronn Lue2627-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-6314.915.7-0.8213.114.4-1.20
Francisco Elson2627-0.19-0.310.130.02-7-2-516.015.40.6513.714.2-0.49
Joe Alexander6665-0.24-0.260.01-0.302-111315.216.3-1.1214.014.1-0.06
Luke Ridnour4850-0.25-0.250.00-0.04-7-2-516.115.01.0614.713.41.31
Andrew Bogut3332-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-123-1516.315.11.1814.214.00.20
Charlie Bell6362-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.14-5-4-115.815.00.8114.213.60.60
Luc Mbah a Moute4041-0.31-0.19-0.120.01-112-1316.215.01.2314.613.60.97
Ramon Sessions6162-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.11-112-1315.715.20.5313.215.5-2.29

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith61600.430.070.370.1111-21313.115.6-2.5315.016.3-1.29
Renaldo Balkman43420.370.130.25-0.0715-62112.815.0-2.2316.314.91.34
Linas Kleiza61590.310.190.120.2818-713.215.4-2.1815.315.8-0.52
Anthony Carter54520.290.210.080.1745-113.714.4-0.7515.415.6-0.18
Carmelo Anthony51500.280.220.05-0.0511-21314.213.80.3716.414.61.80
Kenyon Martin47470.250.25-0.000.0181714.313.80.5315.615.40.18
Nene43450.240.26-0.020.0181714.713.51.1716.314.91.42
Chauncey Billups46470.230.27-0.03-0.0081714.713.41.2315.415.7-0.28
Dahntay Jones56560.070.43-0.350.31-817-2515.512.03.4514.916.3-1.41
Chucky Atkins18180.020.48-0.470.25-817-2513.914.0-0.1616.715.31.40
Cheikh Samb1090.000.50-0.490.15-514-1916.013.82.2010.116.1-5.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 79, CHI 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
VAN 72, CLE 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
GSW 113, MIN 1290.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%