inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 79 Excitement2.5 [1241] MVPBen Gordon (CHI): +13.2%
Chicago Bulls 97 Comeback1.1 [629] LVPDavid West (NOH): -7.8%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.160.000.082067%0.091-0.003100%0.01
Julian Wright0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01470%0.022-0.01250%-0.01
Melvin Ely0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03520%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Hilton Armstrong-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.02360%-0.021-0.00450%-0.03
Devin Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
James Posey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05633%-0.013-0.0300%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.041242%0.013-0.0500%0.00
David West-0.080,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.021433%-0.042-0.032100%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.210.010.081775%0.1300.002100%0.00
John Salmons0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.140.000.051575%0.122-0.03250%-0.01
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.001065%0.091-0.013100%0.00
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.00657%0.0400.0020%-0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Linton Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.130.00-0.12922%-0.013-0.0100%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.02933%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01337%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.031136%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.91.828.115.723.32.426.3120.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +33.6%
CHI +1.8%
CHI +5.9%
CHI +7.6%
CHI +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHCHINBANOHCHINBA
this game18.916.915.598.8119.8106.4
season16.614.8105.9106.3
opponent15.715.6107.2106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH18.218.521.117.918.9
CHI16.015.118.918.116.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Melvin Ely440.00-0.500.50-0.031-192023.218.64.629.717.3-7.55
Morris Peterson1717-0.00-0.500.50-0.3512-304217.119.3-2.2218.116.61.43
Julian Wright3738-0.10-0.400.30-0.224-222616.820.7-3.9218.016.02.02
Ryan Bowen2425-0.13-0.370.24-0.192-202217.619.4-1.7715.117.7-2.61
Devin Brown77-0.18-0.320.140.08-9-9020.118.71.4013.017.3-4.30
Antonio Daniels2022-0.19-0.310.13-0.190-181818.019.1-1.0816.417.1-0.71
Hilton Armstrong2022-0.19-0.310.13-0.190-181818.019.1-1.0816.417.1-0.71
Tyson Chandler6059-0.31-0.19-0.130.21-180-1819.118.01.0817.116.40.71
Chris Paul6059-0.31-0.19-0.130.21-180-1819.118.01.0817.116.40.71
Rasual Butler5657-0.32-0.18-0.140.30-213-2419.218.01.2317.116.60.49
David West5656-0.37-0.13-0.240.22-202-2219.417.61.7717.715.12.61
James Posey3939-0.40-0.10-0.300.28-235-2820.417.43.0216.617.2-0.60

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Gordon64640.490.010.48-0.2425-73217.216.11.1018.818.9-0.09
Derrick Rose57570.410.090.310.08117418.014.43.5719.317.81.45
Brad Miller45450.340.160.17-0.161711616.517.4-0.8818.020.0-2.07
Joakim Noah49480.340.160.17-0.05135817.416.21.1719.817.42.43
John Salmons60610.290.210.09-0.231801816.618.0-1.3919.118.20.86
Tim Thomas35350.270.230.05-0.191621417.316.70.5818.119.4-1.28
Kirk Hinrich28280.200.30-0.10-0.18135816.916.9-0.0517.419.6-2.21
Tyrus Thomas39380.160.34-0.170.25-321-2417.516.41.0319.818.01.87
Lindsey Hunter760.000.50-0.500.15-523-2813.717.2-3.5218.318.9-0.57
Linton Johnson760.000.50-0.500.15-523-2813.717.2-3.5218.318.9-0.57
Aaron Gray760.000.50-0.500.15-523-2813.717.2-3.5218.318.9-0.57
Anthony Roberson760.000.50-0.500.15-523-2813.717.2-3.5218.318.9-0.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 105, DEN 1140.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,197.2%
NYK 109, IND 1230.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,197.0%
LAC 86, SAC 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%