NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	3.2 [1112]		MVP	Rony Seikaly (ORL): +6.7%
Orlando Magic	121		Comeback	1.0 [1253]		LVP	Todd Day (BOS): -7.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Driggers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.09	6	37%	0.03	1	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Steve Hamer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	53%	0.01	0	0.00	5	0%	-0.01
Alton Lister	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.06	23	54%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brett Szabo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	12	38%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
David Wesley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	59%	-0.00	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Todd Day	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	18	42%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rony Seikaly	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	-0.07	16	55%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	13	72%	0.13	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	72%	0.06	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.11	0.01	0.12	15	69%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	7	44%	0.00	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	2.4	24.4	16.7	31.0	2.4	23.4	131.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +22.5%

ORL +11.0%

ORL +9.7%

ORL +7.8%

BOS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.7	15.6	95.1	117.5	104.4
season	14.8	16.4		101.8	102.9
opponent	15.5	14.7		103.5	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	14.7	13.3	13.9	14.3
ORL	13.7	13.0	14.9	13.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Driggers	34	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-24	25	12.4	15.2	-2.75	12.7	14.2	-1.50
Brett Szabo	32	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-20	17	12.7	15.0	-2.32	12.7	14.2	-1.53
Alton Lister	10	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-18	13	18.3	13.8	4.48	14.2	13.7	0.53
Michael Hawkins	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	-11	-1	13.9	14.4	-0.45	11.6	14.5	-2.91
Steve Hamer	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.29	-18	-5	-13	14.1	14.4	-0.31	12.3	14.7	-2.44
David Wesley	74	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-12	1	14.7	13.0	1.70	14.0	13.0	1.00
Eric Williams	56	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-7	-9	14.4	14.1	0.35	14.5	12.8	1.71
Antoine Walker	89	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-7	-9	14.2	14.6	-0.37	14.0	12.2	1.73
Todd Day	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-10	-3	14.1	14.7	-0.63	14.4	12.0	2.43
Marty Conlon	75	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.10	-22	-1	-21	15.1	12.0	3.14	14.3	12.0	2.27

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.37	28	-5	33	14.0	13.3	0.65	15.0	12.9	2.15
Nick Anderson	60	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.22	21	2	19	14.3	12.8	1.50	15.1	13.0	2.20
Darrell Armstrong	48	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.32	23	0	23	12.8	14.5	-1.76	14.5	14.0	0.53
Gerald Wilkins	66	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.23	18	5	13	12.7	15.4	-2.69	14.2	14.3	-0.04
Anfernee Hardaway	66	65	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	17	-11	14.1	13.1	1.02	13.8	15.0	-1.18
Rony Seikaly	70	71	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.13	13	10	3	14.9	11.2	3.67	14.3	14.2	0.00
Dan Schayes	25	24	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	15	-7	12.2	14.2	-1.94	16.9	13.4	3.47
Dennis Scott	60	60	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	23	-23	14.4	12.7	1.74	13.6	15.2	-1.64
Derek Strong	39	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	28	-33	13.3	14.0	-0.65	12.9	15.0	-2.15
Brian Evans	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	12.7	13.8	-1.12	11.6	14.5	-2.96
Amal McCaskill	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	9.1	14.0	-4.90	8.0	14.6	-6.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIN 80, CHA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIA 81, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%