NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	7.9 [258]		MVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): +7.5%
New Jersey Nets	83		Comeback	1.6 [509]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -24.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	7	57%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	8	72%	0.11	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.06
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	24	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0	-0.07	0.06	-0.00	16	49%	0.16	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.03
Jonathan Bender	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.14	0.00	14	37%	-0.14	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	9	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	23	51%	0.03	3	-0.14	5	80%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	13	36%	-0.11	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.21,-0.24,-0.31,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	16	42%	0.07	5	-0.31	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	285.6	2.4	29.6	18.6	26.2	2.5	39.5	404.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +19.3%

IND +13.4%

NJN -2.5%

IND +20.5%

NJN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.6	96.7	90.2	102.3
season	15.3	14.7		101.6	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.4		98.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.9	16.6	19.1	15.2	16.3
NJN	13.9	15.4	15.1	15.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	76	77	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-6	18	15.9	18.7	-2.83	14.5	17.1	-2.60
Jermaine O'Neal	83	83	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-6	18	16.0	19.2	-3.19	14.6	18.0	-3.37
Jamaal Tinsley	56	56	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	16.2	16.5	-0.25	15.5	14.2	1.30
Metta World Peace	83	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-4	14	16.4	16.2	0.14	15.3	12.6	2.64
Brad Miller	73	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	4	-2	16.1	17.3	-1.22	15.6	12.5	3.14
Austin Croshere	4	4	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	1	4	17.7	16.3	1.47	16.2	14.9	1.35
Jeff Foster	27	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	10	-14	15.7	16.6	-0.91	13.4	15.6	-2.14
Ron Mercer	21	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	10	-14	17.8	15.9	1.89	15.1	14.9	0.24
Jonathan Bender	4	5	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	12	-18	17.7	16.3	1.47	15.6	14.9	0.68
Kevin Ollie	33	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	14	-22	18.2	15.3	2.91	14.5	15.2	-0.68

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	11	11	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-10	14	16.4	14.8	1.60	17.5	16.2	1.36
Richard Jefferson	35	34	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-11	16	15.6	14.5	1.08	18.8	14.9	3.88
Anthony Johnson	8	8	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-10	14	18.4	14.6	3.74	18.4	16.2	2.22
Lucious Harris	26	25	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-9	12	16.3	14.4	1.88	19.2	15.3	3.86
Todd MacCulloch	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	15.3	14.7	0.56	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Aaron Williams	46	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-4	2	15.2	14.7	0.48	16.6	16.1	0.57
Keith Van Horn	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	1	-8	14.2	17.2	-2.96	15.5	18.8	-3.25
Kerry Kittles	66	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	3	-12	14.4	16.3	-1.88	15.3	19.2	-3.86
Jason Kidd	84	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.29	-10	4	-14	14.6	18.4	-3.74	16.2	18.4	-2.22
Kenyon Martin	74	75	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.31	-14	8	-22	14.8	15.6	-0.81	15.7	19.2	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 91, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.1,0.15,0	92.4%
HOU 69, OKC 65	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.1,0	92.4%
UTA 102, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.69,0.49,0.67,0.62,0.39,0.23,0.08,0	91.9%