NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	91		Excitement	7.7 [301]		MVP	Glen Rice (LAL): +30.2%
Utah Jazz	84		Comeback	1.5 [375]		LVP	Ron Harper (LAL): -32.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.13	0.17	-0.00	13	85%	0.44	4	-0.14	7	100%	0.05
Derek Fisher	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11	0.00	0.11	0.00	11	55%	0.22	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
John Salley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.21	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	20	45%	-0.17	2	-0.05	11	45%	-0.11
Ron Harper	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.33	-0.13	-0.18	0.01	11	35%	-0.17	3	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	13	72%	0.15	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.05
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	56%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	13	54%	0.18	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	5	47%	-0.05	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.12	-0.17	0.01	10	50%	-0.07	5	-0.23	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	28.3	18.7	29.8	1.8	40.2	145.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.7%

UTA -18.9%

LAL +20.8%

LAL +11.7%

LAL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.0	15.2	102.2	95.5	101.7
season	15.3	16.3		105.6	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.1		100.6	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.0	15.3	17.2	16.9	16.6
UTA	16.5	16.0	15.5	15.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	64	64	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-9	25	16.4	17.1	-0.72	16.6	14.2	2.43
Ron Harper	71	69	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-3	13	16.7	16.1	0.56	15.8	16.6	-0.83
A.C. Green	61	59	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-2	11	17.7	14.1	3.53	15.2	17.7	-2.50
Derek Fisher	74	73	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.24	13	-6	19	16.7	15.7	1.08	15.8	16.8	-0.99
Glen Rice	76	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-4	15	16.2	18.4	-2.13	15.8	16.9	-1.11
Rick Fox	37	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.14	3	4	-1	14.4	18.1	-3.69	17.3	15.1	2.20
Brian Shaw	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	8	-9	16.3	16.6	-0.31	16.3	15.9	0.43
Devean George	1	2	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	11	-15	36.0	16.3	19.66	20.0	15.9	4.12
Travis Knight	2	3	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	11	-15	17.0	16.6	0.45	10.7	16.2	-5.50
John Salley	26	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.14	-10	17	-27	17.7	16.1	1.54	15.7	16.1	-0.31
Tyronn Lue	14	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	15	-23	15.4	16.8	-1.43	16.2	15.9	0.26

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Lewis	8	7	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.02	3	-10	13	19.0	15.7	3.32	18.0	16.4	1.56
Jacque Vaughn	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	7.5	16.2	-8.67	18.0	16.5	1.47
Olden Polynice	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-8	9	17.2	15.3	1.83	16.2	16.7	-0.49
Pete Chilcutt	26	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-2	-3	18.1	15.1	2.98	13.9	17.8	-3.95
Howard Eisley	46	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-7	7	16.6	15.3	1.28	16.6	16.6	0.00
Adam Keefe	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	1	-9	16.3	15.9	0.42	17.6	16.1	1.50
Bryon Russell	63	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-8	9	15.9	16.3	-0.42	16.1	17.6	-1.50
Greg Ostertag	53	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	15.5	16.7	-1.22	17.0	16.0	1.01
John Stockton	57	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	0	-7	16.1	15.8	0.21	16.2	17.2	-1.02
Jeff Hornacek	63	63	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	3	-13	15.3	17.6	-2.21	16.7	16.3	0.41
Karl Malone	66	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	-2	-3	15.0	19.0	-3.97	17.6	13.8	3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.1,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 105, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.1,0.08,0	92.7%
IND 89, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.08,0	92.4%
ORL 107, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.06,0,0	91.9%