inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 69 Excitement8.7 [162] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +16.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 65 Comeback1.6 [713] LVPDwight Howard (HOU): -43.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.160,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,0.23,0.16-0.070.250.011745%0.294-0.12887%0.07
Trevor Ariza0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.06-0.001142%0.0500.00450%-0.02
Patrick Beverley0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.030.05-0.020.001055%0.0300.002100%0.03
Francisco Garcia-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01740%-0.0100.0010%-0.04
Troy Daniels-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Terry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tarik Black-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.00333%-0.022-0.0700%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas-0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.05-0.01935%-0.023-0.11250%-0.01
Kostas Papanikolaou-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.05-0.0160%-0.111-0.0400%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.430,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.34,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43-0.20-0.24-0.011429%-0.234-0.201331%-0.22

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.03-0.00947%0.061-0.021100%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.001150%0.0400.00887%0.02
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00350%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.0020%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.06-0.00550%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00325%-0.052-0.0620%-0.07
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.040.001148%0.054-0.179100%0.11
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.06-0.01918%-0.1600.00450%-0.02
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19-0.19-0.07-0.120.00217%-0.042-0.16250%-0.01
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.27,-0.2,-0.21-0.21-0.09-0.120.001338%-0.053-0.1700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.432.815.629.52.745.1156.3
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +18.5%
OKC -4.6%
HOU +38.6%
HOU +3.3%
OKC -5.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUOKCNBAHOUOKCNBA
this game17.615.515.179.374.7104.2
season14.314.5105.6105.7
opponent15.014.9103.5103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU15.419.416.819.217.6
OKC14.016.615.116.815.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Beverley51520.61-0.110.730.2313-92219.115.33.8015.216.0-0.82
Donatas Motiejunas60580.55-0.050.600.4340418.016.61.3515.316.0-0.69
Dwight Howard71710.53-0.030.560.337-31018.115.12.9915.615.20.43
Trevor Ariza67680.440.060.380.3822017.418.0-0.5715.415.9-0.52
James Harden70690.380.120.260.44-26-816.621.4-4.7115.216.8-1.63
Francisco Garcia22220.090.41-0.33-0.0340419.017.11.9216.115.30.80
Tarik Black25260.080.42-0.340.0804-416.118.1-2.0314.915.8-0.88
Troy Daniels560.030.47-0.45-0.0013-226.217.09.1621.815.16.76
Kostas Papanikolaou2727-0.100.60-0.70-0.07-15-617.117.8-0.6616.115.30.83
Jason Terry3736-0.110.61-0.720.13-812-2014.919.5-4.6015.715.40.26

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lance Thomas52510.16-0.660.810.073-71014.417.2-2.8216.419.2-2.78
Ish Smith99-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-1-220.015.04.9719.617.32.22
Kendrick Perkins3940-0.17-0.330.16-0.170-4416.914.52.4117.717.40.35
Sebastian Telfair3737-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-62-816.414.91.4617.517.6-0.18
Nick Collison2627-0.21-0.290.08-0.04-62-816.415.21.2617.817.40.36
Serge Ibaka6565-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.373-71015.316.2-0.9217.218.7-1.50
Jeremy Lamb4545-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.372-6815.016.1-1.0719.116.03.11
Steven Adams4442-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.19-51-614.216.9-2.7517.817.30.48
Reggie Jackson6666-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.41-2-2015.416.0-0.5418.016.11.87
Anthony Morrow5253-0.530.03-0.57-0.36-62-815.915.00.9516.619.1-2.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.1,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 95, WAS 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.33,0.27,092.8%
IND 89, NJN 830.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.08,092.4%
NJN 99, BOS 970.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.17,092.3%