NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	105		Excitement	5.8 [652]		MVP	Eddie Robinson (CHH): +14.3%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	1.9 [584]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -15.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	10	73%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	14	76%	0.18	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Brad Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Chucky Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	57%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	12	35%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.01	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	17	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	13	57%	-0.02	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	46%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	14	44%	-0.15	0	0.00	13	69%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	30.0	15.6	26.8	2.0	30.2	129.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +48.9%

CHH +3.6%

BOS -6.6%

BOS -0.4%

CHH +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	BOS	NBA	CHH	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	13.9	15.2	108.2	103.0	101.7
season	14.9	14.7		101.5	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.6	11.5	16.3	18.3	15.5
BOS	12.2	15.6	13.2	14.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	48	49	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	-1	5	13.6	17.4	-3.74	15.1	12.7	2.44
Brad Miller	54	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	2	-1	14.8	16.5	-1.75	14.6	12.9	1.73
Baron Davis	45	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	2	-1	14.7	16.3	-1.58	15.1	12.8	2.32
Anthony Mason	79	80	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	6	-9	16.8	9.9	6.93	13.8	14.2	-0.42
Chucky Brown	43	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	0	3	14.4	16.4	-2.01	15.1	12.9	2.28
Ricky Davis	18	19	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	-3	9	9.9	16.8	-6.93	14.2	13.8	0.42
Derrick Coleman	52	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	1	1	16.3	14.7	1.58	12.8	15.1	-2.32
David Wesley	52	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	1	1	16.3	14.7	1.58	12.8	15.1	-2.32
Eddie Jones	51	52	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	6	-9	17.5	13.3	4.16	12.7	15.1	-2.40
Elden Campbell	43	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	1	1	16.5	14.8	1.75	12.9	14.6	-1.73

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	3	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	9.7	14.0	-4.33	7.7	15.8	-8.12
Calbert Cheaney	4	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	22.0	13.5	8.47	16.2	15.5	0.70
Eric Williams	69	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.35	6	-9	15	13.6	14.4	-0.76	15.2	16.3	-1.06
Tony Battie	31	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-1	-1	15.7	13.0	2.68	13.7	16.3	-2.58
Vitaly Potapenko	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	0	-3	13.0	14.8	-1.75	15.4	15.7	-0.39
Danny Fortson	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	1	-5	14.6	13.5	1.04	16.8	14.9	1.91
Kenny Anderson	62	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-3	3	13.8	14.0	-0.17	15.8	15.1	0.76
Dana Barros	37	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	0	-3	14.0	13.8	0.17	15.1	15.8	-0.76
Walter McCarty	34	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	7	-17	14.7	13.4	1.23	16.0	15.3	0.67
Paul Pierce	88	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-7	11	13.5	16.7	-3.22	15.9	13.2	2.61
Antoine Walker	85	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-6	9	13.4	16.4	-2.98	15.8	14.0	1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.21,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, NJN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.2%
ORL 105, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0	94.0%
CHH 102, ORL 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%