NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	5.6 [688]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +8.9%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	1.9 [278]		LVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): -13.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	9	79%	0.16	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	7	74%	0.10	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	87%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
John Crotty	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	75%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	7	36%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	0.00	23	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	16	81%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	64%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	15	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Derrick Dial	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	15	62%	0.10	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.03
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	7	44%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	5	-0.16	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	29.2	14.7	24.7	2.4	32.2	129.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.9%

NJN -4.5%

UTA +24.0%

NJN -0.3%

UTA +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NJN	NBA	UTA	NJN	NBA
this game	17.0	14.0	15.6	111.8	96.8	102.3
season	16.1	14.7		102.9	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.1		98.0	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	15.2	16.0	20.9	17.0
NJN	14.2	15.4	12.8	13.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	47	46	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.15	24	-10	34	17.5	16.5	0.92	15.1	12.9	2.19
Bryon Russell	43	43	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-6	26	18.6	15.7	2.92	14.2	13.8	0.43
Greg Ostertag	58	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-2	18	18.0	15.3	2.67	14.7	12.8	1.92
John Stockton	62	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	6	2	17.1	16.9	0.16	13.8	14.2	-0.44
Donyell Marshall	67	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	6	2	16.4	18.6	-2.17	13.7	14.6	-0.84
Karl Malone	80	82	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	10	-6	17.0	17.2	-0.17	13.5	17.5	-4.07
John Crotty	31	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	8	-2	16.9	17.1	-0.16	14.2	13.8	0.44
DeShawn Stevenson	50	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	20	-26	15.7	18.6	-2.92	13.8	14.2	-0.43
Jarron Collins	27	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.18	-10	24	-34	15.6	17.6	-1.95	12.6	14.5	-1.93

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Dial	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	13.0	14.0	-0.98	13.5	17.1	-3.59
Todd MacCulloch	50	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-16	18	14.1	13.8	0.35	15.7	18.5	-2.78
Jason Collins	12	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-7	0	15.0	13.8	1.20	16.1	17.2	-1.09
Kenyon Martin	73	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-14	14	13.7	14.9	-1.20	16.9	17.5	-0.66
Keith Van Horn	74	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-14	14	13.7	15.1	-1.38	17.5	15.1	2.42
Lucious Harris	34	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-6	-2	14.6	13.6	1.04	16.6	17.2	-0.59
Jason Kidd	81	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	13.7	15.9	-2.25	17.0	17.0	0.01
Kerry Kittles	69	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	14.0	13.8	0.17	17.3	16.1	1.18
Richard Jefferson	27	26	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.19	-21	7	-28	15.0	13.5	1.42	16.5	17.2	-0.66
Aaron Williams	43	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	2	-18	13.8	14.1	-0.35	18.5	15.7	2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.22,0.16,0.28,0.08,0.04,0.11,0,0	94.5%
CHH 105, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.21,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	94.2%
MIN 111, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.0%