NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Excitement	5.6 [673]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +27.1%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	1.8 [199]		LVP	Kirk Snyder (MIN): -7.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.07	0.00	9	86%	0.24	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	17	49%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Randy Foye	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	39%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	17	51%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.07	11	76%	0.12	4	-0.13	7	100%	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	11	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.33	0.03	0.09	23	69%	0.29	1	-0.02	24	92%	0.07
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	11	62%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	59%	0.04	4	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	32.1	15.4	31.2	2.5	34.5	140.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +50.4%

SAC -18.3%

MIN +1.6%

MIN +15.0%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	15.4	119.4	110.8	105.7
season	15.9	14.9		102.2	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.6	16.9	15.3	17.7	16.6
SAC	14.1	18.2	12.2	13.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	56	54	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-7	22	15.9	17.5	-1.58	14.7	13.9	0.79
Marko Jaric	32	33	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-3	14	17.8	15.9	1.96	18.0	12.4	5.52
Craig Smith	27	26	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	0	8	17.7	16.1	1.66	17.9	13.1	4.82
Chris Richard	22	21	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	-3	14	17.6	16.2	1.41	16.9	13.7	3.16
Corey Brewer	32	32	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	-2	12	17.9	15.9	2.01	16.8	13.2	3.62
Kirk Snyder	68	69	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	10	-12	16.3	17.3	-1.04	13.9	16.0	-2.14
Al Jefferson	72	73	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.18	-2	10	-12	16.4	17.2	-0.88	13.4	18.0	-4.58
Ryan Gomes	65	66	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	9	-10	15.9	18.0	-2.11	13.3	17.0	-3.65
Randy Foye	62	64	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	11	-14	15.9	17.8	-1.87	12.8	17.9	-5.02
Sebastian Telfair	29	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	15	-22	16.9	16.4	0.49	11.7	15.5	-3.81

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	57	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-7	6	14.3	14.6	-0.24	16.6	16.5	0.12
Anthony Johnson	6	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-4	0	19.5	14.1	5.44	20.4	16.2	4.18
John Salmons	54	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.10	-1	-7	6	14.1	14.9	-0.84	15.5	17.9	-2.40
Brad Miller	50	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-3	-2	13.9	15.0	-1.01	16.1	17.0	-0.92
Quincy Douby	15	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-2	-4	17.3	13.8	3.49	19.4	16.0	3.40
Kevin Martin	84	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-6	4	14.1	17.4	-3.36	15.9	21.8	-5.87
Beno Udrih	81	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-4	0	13.8	18.3	-4.51	16.3	18.1	-1.76
Spencer Hawes	48	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-4	0	14.7	14.1	0.62	16.9	16.1	0.80
Shelden Williams	31	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	14.9	14.2	0.69	16.6	16.6	0.01
Francisco Garcia	39	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	14.9	14.1	0.84	17.9	15.5	2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 102, ORL 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
LAL 99, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
ORL 105, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0	94.2%