NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	5.3 [747]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +11.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	1.7 [927]		LVP	Elton Brand (PHI): -14.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.04	0.11	-0.04	22	48%	0.17	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	14	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.07	14	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	59%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	18	62%	0.13	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.06	0.04	19	49%	-0.04	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	30.1	15.7	25.0	2.6	28.6	129.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.0%

LAL +12.8%

PHI -11.4%

LAL +23.3%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.3	106.5	96.8	106.0
season	15.7	15.1		107.9	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.1		108.4	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.1	15.3	14.9	16.6	15.2
PHI	16.5	14.7	17.9	13.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	61	62	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	2	4	15.6	14.5	1.08	14.7	17.3	-2.65
Kobe Bryant	78	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	4	0	15.2	15.5	-0.35	16.0	13.7	2.27
Jordan Farmar	29	29	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-4	16	13.7	15.9	-2.20	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Pau Gasol	77	76	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	4	0	15.2	15.6	-0.39	16.1	13.1	3.03
Shannon Brown	31	33	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	0	8	14.7	15.5	-0.79	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Andrew Bynum	48	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	2	4	14.9	15.6	-0.75	15.8	15.3	0.50
Metta World Peace	72	72	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	8	-8	15.5	14.4	1.11	15.6	15.4	0.20
Sasha Vujacic	7	8	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	2	4	14.6	15.3	-0.72	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Derek Fisher	62	62	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	14	-20	16.1	13.6	2.48	15.6	15.5	0.14
Josh Powell	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	8	-8	0.0	15.2	-15.24	4.0	15.7	-11.69

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	5.7	16.0	-10.25	13.6	15.3	-1.73
Jason Kapono	2	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	4.0	15.8	-11.82	36.0	15.0	20.99
Jrue Holiday	33	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-10	12	16.3	15.2	1.09	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Allen Iverson	72	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-9	10	16.2	13.4	2.81	15.7	13.7	1.99
Elton Brand	77	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-12	16	15.9	13.9	2.05	15.3	14.8	0.51
Marreese Speights	10	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	2	-12	17.7	15.3	2.39	12.9	15.5	-2.62
Samuel Dalembert	78	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-6	4	16.1	13.0	3.09	15.4	14.6	0.81
Lou Williams	18	18	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	5	-18	15.1	15.7	-0.56	13.8	15.6	-1.81
Willie Green	46	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	15.2	15.9	-0.76	13.7	16.7	-3.04
Andre Iguodala	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	15.9	13.7	2.17	15.6	12.7	2.95
Thaddeus Young	49	48	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.13	-15	7	-22	13.6	17.7	-4.16	16.2	14.2	2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 111, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.3%
POR 103, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.31,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0	94.0%
LAL 107, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%