NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	6.0 [623]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (POR): +13.2%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.7 [804]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -16.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	13	50%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	5	70%	0.11	2	-0.04	13	77%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	26	53%	0.14	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Allen Crabbe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-0.03	12	21%	-0.08	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	14	55%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	16	59%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	22	43%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	52%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	28.2	16.4	21.6	2.3	35.6	129.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.0%

POR +3.5%

POR +6.7%

POR +2.2%

POR +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	14.7	14.9	103.0	96.0	105.1
season	15.0	14.8		107.1	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.6		105.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.2	13.2	16.6	13.5	14.3
CHI	16.4	13.4	15.4	13.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Crabbe	73	74	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.17	14	-6	20	13.8	15.6	-1.78	14.1	16.3	-2.23
Gerald Henderson	58	59	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.18	12	-4	16	13.2	15.8	-2.62	14.1	15.4	-1.33
Ed Davis	53	53	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.07	13	-5	18	13.5	15.2	-1.78	14.6	14.7	-0.07
Meyers Leonard	42	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	-1	10	14.6	14.0	0.61	15.0	14.4	0.61
CJ McCollum	61	59	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	3	2	13.6	15.4	-1.75	14.7	14.6	0.01
Mason Plumlee	59	56	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	10	-12	15.1	13.1	2.06	14.8	14.4	0.42
Damian Lillard	71	70	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	10	-12	14.9	12.9	1.96	14.6	14.9	-0.34
Maurice Harkless	17	17	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	7	-6	13.1	14.5	-1.41	13.2	15.0	-1.72
Al-Farouq Aminu	41	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	14	-20	15.9	13.2	2.73	15.4	14.1	1.33
Noah Vonleh	25	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	12	-16	15.6	13.8	1.80	16.7	14.0	2.71

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cristiano Felicio	5	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-6	4	14.0	14.7	-0.69	15.0	14.2	0.76
Tony Snell	54	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-9	10	15.0	14.2	0.76	15.2	13.2	1.98
Pau Gasol	77	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-11	14	14.6	15.0	-0.44	14.7	13.0	1.73
Mike Dunleavy	58	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-7	6	14.5	14.9	-0.34	13.9	14.9	-1.02
Aaron Brooks	21	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-6	4	14.2	14.8	-0.59	14.1	14.4	-0.27
Taj Gibson	38	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-1	-6	16.3	13.7	2.61	14.9	13.9	1.04
E'Twaun Moore	80	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	14.5	15.3	-0.82	14.3	14.4	-0.18
Justin Holiday	36	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	4	-16	14.4	14.8	-0.38	13.1	15.0	-1.90
Bobby Portis	58	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	0	-8	14.6	14.8	-0.21	14.4	14.1	0.34
Doug McDermott	69	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-1	-6	14.1	15.9	-1.83	13.8	15.4	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.31,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
NYK 92, WAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
GSW 94, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.14,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.04,0	93.3%