NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	5.4 [723]		MVP	John Starks (NYK): +8.5%
Washington Bullets	80		Comeback	1.9 [356]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -21.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	9	76%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Buck Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.01	0.04	5	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	19	48%	0.03	4	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
John Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.03	0.00	7	14%	-0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	19	35%	-0.14	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.01	19	45%	-0.03	7	-0.14	4	50%	-0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.03	0.01	11	49%	-0.06	6	-0.15	13	85%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	29.5	14.6	29.0	1.8	33.3	136.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +35.8%

NYK +6.4%

NYK +10.4%

WAS -9.4%

NYK +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.4	15.6	93.9	80.8	104.4
season	15.1	14.8		102.0	104.3
opponent	15.8	16.1		103.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	12.3	16.6	15.0	14.9
WAS	15.3	14.9	14.1	13.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	61	62	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-3	18	13.8	16.7	-2.95	13.8	15.4	-1.65
John Wallace	36	36	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.05	14	-2	16	14.7	15.0	-0.23	15.1	14.0	1.07
Buck Williams	51	52	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	-3	18	14.0	15.8	-1.77	14.1	14.7	-0.54
Charlie Ward	37	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	1	10	14.5	15.1	-0.57	13.9	14.7	-0.77
Patrick Ewing	80	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	6	0	14.3	17.3	-2.95	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Allan Houston	59	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	6	0	15.5	13.9	1.57	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Chris Childs	61	62	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	11	-10	15.1	14.5	0.57	14.7	13.9	0.77
Charles Oakley	55	55	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	16	-20	16.1	13.3	2.79	14.6	14.1	0.47
Larry Johnson	50	52	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	16	-20	16.0	13.7	2.27	15.0	13.7	1.28

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-15	18	12.8	14.8	-1.97	16.9	14.3	2.59
Gheorghe Muresan	38	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-15	18	15.8	13.5	2.25	16.6	13.7	2.90
Lorenzo Williams	21	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.14	-11	-1	-10	15.1	14.2	0.92	11.5	15.7	-4.14
Rod Strickland	83	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-10	8	13.6	18.3	-4.70	14.6	16.2	-1.66
Calbert Cheaney	76	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-8	4	14.1	15.2	-1.04	14.5	16.2	-1.75
Chris Webber	89	88	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-9	6	14.7	11.9	2.75	15.1	13.1	1.97
Chris Whitney	16	17	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-2	-8	18.3	13.6	4.70	16.2	14.6	1.66
Harvey Grant	39	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	2	-16	14.3	14.4	-0.15	13.8	15.5	-1.68
Juwan Howard	85	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-7	2	13.7	18.7	-5.06	15.0	13.7	1.27
Tracy Murray	28	27	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	5	-22	15.1	14.1	1.07	14.5	15.0	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 102, ORL 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
NYK 119, BKN 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
MIA 100, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.29,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%