NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	102		Excitement	5.3 [759]		MVP	Jamaal Magloire (CHH): +9.9%
Orlando Magic	85		Comeback	1.8 [372]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (ORL): -12.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.10	0	0.00	13	85%	0.03
Baron Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.04	19	61%	0.11	3	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
David Wesley	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	67%	0.08	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kirk Haston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	62%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	12	35%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.03	22	64%	0.19	4	-0.09	11	73%	0.02
Jaren Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	11	42%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	10	41%	-0.10	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	483.7	3.3	28.6	20.6	30.0	3.4	36.6	606.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +27.9%

CHH +8.6%

CHH +12.5%

ORL -2.1%

CHH +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ORL	NBA	CHH	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.6	112.1	92.4	102.3
season	15.9	14.6		102.2	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.3	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	18.0	15.3	16.6	16.0	16.5
ORL	15.4	16.7	12.8	15.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	87	87	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-1	19	16.6	14.7	1.81	14.9	17.6	-2.75
P.J. Brown	67	68	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	1	15	17.5	13.7	3.77	15.4	14.0	1.41
Jamaal Magloire	38	38	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	4	9	15.2	17.4	-2.23	15.8	14.4	1.35
Stacey Augmon	41	41	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	6	5	13.9	18.6	-4.70	14.5	15.4	-0.97
David Wesley	79	80	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	5	7	16.9	13.5	3.44	15.0	14.7	0.38
Robert Traylor	16	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	10	-3	12.5	17.3	-4.83	15.9	14.8	1.13
George Lynch	53	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	7	3	17.7	14.7	3.00	15.5	14.3	1.25
Elden Campbell	40	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	19	-21	18.8	14.7	4.13	15.3	14.8	0.48
Lee Nailon	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	13	-9	14.4	17.6	-3.20	13.5	15.8	-2.30
Kirk Haston	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	25.0	16.4	8.61	7.5	15.2	-7.67
Bryce Drew	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	25.0	16.4	8.61	7.5	15.2	-7.67

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	7.5	15.2	-7.67	25.0	16.4	8.61
Patrick Ewing	44	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-15	13	12.9	16.9	-4.01	14.8	17.9	-3.06
Troy Hudson	41	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-12	7	13.3	16.4	-3.04	14.1	18.4	-4.30
Don Reid	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-10	3	13.6	15.4	-1.79	13.2	17.4	-4.21
Horace Grant	40	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-10	3	17.1	13.4	3.67	19.4	14.2	5.25
Monty Williams	25	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-9	1	15.4	14.9	0.55	14.9	17.1	-2.18
Mike Miller	74	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-4	-9	15.5	12.9	2.62	17.3	13.3	3.93
Pat Garrity	55	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	-4	-9	15.4	14.4	1.09	17.4	14.9	2.50
Darrell Armstrong	73	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	-1	-15	15.3	13.8	1.46	17.2	13.3	3.92
Tracy McGrady	85	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	-1	-15	15.3	11.0	4.33	16.3	18.9	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, WAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
PHI 94, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%
MIN 111, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.7%