inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 116 Excitement11.2 [26] MVPJames Posey (DEN): +38.1%
Denver Nuggets 115 Comeback3.8 [222] LVPNick Van Exel (DEN): -50.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.360,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.12,0.12,0.360.160.200.001678%0.602-0.24978%0.02
Hubert Davis0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21-0.020.240.001543%0.241-0.0300%0.00
Steve Nash0.130,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.080.001168%0.212-0.0800%0.00
Michael Finley0.110,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.11-0.120.18-0.052343%0.183-0.078100%0.07
Sean Rooks0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.020.00362%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Shawn Bradley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.05-0.060.02773%0.061-0.091100%0.00
Erick Strickland-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.10.01-0.12-0.001253%-0.1000.00667%-0.02
Greg Buckner-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.00312%-0.091-0.04250%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.18,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.380.380.100.290.00977%0.401-0.024100%0.07
Chris Herren0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.020.001169%0.141-0.034100%0.02
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.23,-0.23,-0.1,0.060.06-0.070.12-0.011650%0.264-0.19450%-0.03
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.022100%0.0310.0000%0.00
Keon Clark0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00467%0.061-0.0310%-0.07
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01480%0.051-0.032100%0.01
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.020.011662%0.083-0.085100%0.13
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.02-0.01450%0.062-0.0700%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.51-0.51-0.06-0.45-0.001844%-0.472-0.04367%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.82.727.115.326.61.636.61.714.2148.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +60.8%
DEN -16.3%
DEN -1.8%
DEN -5.2%
DAL +12.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDENNBADALDENNBA
this game17.815.215.2119.6119.8101.7
season14.814.8104.2101.5
opponent15.014.8103.7104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL15.919.015.818.724.317.8
DEN13.413.817.015.618.615.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Strickland78790.96-0.461.420.6411-102118.016.71.3515.414.01.42
Dirk Nowitzki82810.74-0.240.990.4211-102117.519.4-1.9216.010.95.02
Michael Finley89870.450.050.390.4210117.719.1-1.4714.917.4-2.51
Hubert Davis48480.320.180.140.3201-117.318.2-0.8714.915.4-0.50
Greg Buckner23220.140.36-0.210.41-910-1917.218.0-0.7913.715.6-1.93
Steve Nash8786-0.000.50-0.51-0.0001-117.123.8-6.7215.016.2-1.15
Sean Rooks1717-0.280.78-1.060.01-1011-2120.417.23.1313.615.5-1.92
Shawn Bradley5553-0.450.95-1.39-0.4501-118.017.50.5215.115.3-0.20

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey52520.41-0.911.320.0612-132513.916.7-2.7618.117.40.74
Keon Clark41430.12-0.620.730.062-3515.614.90.7319.416.52.96
Ryan Bowen12130.08-0.580.67-0.034-5910.115.9-5.8118.017.70.26
Popeye Jones1211-0.01-0.490.49-0.031-2312.515.5-3.0516.218.0-1.79
Raef LaFrentz3334-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-32-515.015.2-0.2115.119.2-4.13
Chris Gatling3029-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.01-1211-2316.014.81.2616.418.3-1.89
George McCloud7878-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.535-61115.115.6-0.4817.917.30.63
Antonio McDyess8486-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.44-21-315.512.53.0518.016.21.79
Chris Herren5454-0.600.10-0.71-0.58-10-115.315.00.2117.618.0-0.37
Nick Van Exel7778-0.640.14-0.78-0.35-109-1916.011.74.3417.718.2-0.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.22,0.47,0.54,0.66,0.27,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 106, BOS 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.43,0.04,090.0%
MIA 98, SEA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.27,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.08,088.0%
IND 106, MIA 1000.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.27,087.9%