inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 106 Excitement11.8 [21] MVPJamaal Tinsley (IND): +48.2%
Miami Heat 100 Comeback8.8 [113] LVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): -39.0%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley0.480,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.13,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.480.100.410.032364%0.613-0.131100%0.00
Reggie Miller0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.150.080.080.02882%0.232-0.086100%0.02
Scot Pollard0.130,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.000.13-0.00944%0.1300.0000%0.00
James Jones0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.02-0.03367%0.0510.003100%0.02
Jonathan Bender0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.03-0.01367%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Foster0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fred Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01-0.020.00-0.011045%0.031-0.04250%-0.01
Anthony Johnson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal-0.250,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.33,-0.39,-0.25-0.10-0.15-0.002345%-0.212-0.041283%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.13,-0.22,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.010.01-0.160.14-0.032745%0.105-0.091267%0.06
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.011059%0.012-0.05757%-0.11
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.04-0.04-0.090.01-0.04741%0.063-0.10333%-0.05
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.01-0.220.011148%-0.161-0.0810%-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.09,-0.12,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.25,-0.34,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39-0.39-0.10-0.290.001653%-0.204-0.191331%-0.30
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.83.533.417.525.43.342.71.517.2171.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +51.4%
IND +5.8%
MIA -19.5%
IND +13.0%
MIA -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game16.415.815.5107.1102.0104.0
season16.815.7101.9107.9
opponent15.515.5101.1101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
IND17.017.016.216.514.416.4
MIA17.316.415.814.215.615.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Miller74750.63-0.130.760.1915-92415.419.6-4.1816.015.30.77
Jermaine O'Neal83850.63-0.130.750.2413-72016.217.8-1.6415.815.9-0.09
Jamaal Tinsley86850.58-0.080.660.2611-51615.820.9-5.1715.816.2-0.44
James Jones36360.360.140.220.0112-61816.116.6-0.5516.815.31.56
Scot Pollard66680.330.170.170.137-1815.917.5-1.6216.115.40.69
Jeff Foster32300.170.33-0.170.19-17-818.015.72.3615.416.1-0.69
Fred Jones69680.110.39-0.290.34-814-2216.815.61.1515.017.7-2.62
Anthony Johnson2322-0.070.57-0.650.10-612-1819.715.44.3016.915.51.37
Jonathan Bender2017-0.100.60-0.700.11-713-2019.015.83.2216.215.80.40
Michael Curry64-0.130.63-0.770.04-612-1817.216.40.7811.516.0-4.53

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler36360.28-0.781.05-0.1414-203416.015.70.2919.114.94.25
Christian Laettner20190.16-0.660.82-0.109-152414.416.2-1.7618.216.02.13
Keyon Dooling29280.03-0.530.56-0.125-111615.815.9-0.1319.315.33.98
Michael Doleac17180.01-0.510.51-0.052-81015.615.9-0.2418.715.92.73
Eddie Jones7778-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.20-104-1416.314.31.9315.918.6-2.71
Shaquille O'Neal8181-0.510.01-0.51-0.27-82-1015.915.60.2415.918.7-2.73
Damon Jones6971-0.520.02-0.53-0.19-115-1615.915.80.1315.319.3-3.98
Udonis Haslem7880-0.660.16-0.82-0.22-159-2416.214.41.7616.018.2-2.13
Dwyane Wade8384-0.800.30-1.09-0.33-1610-2615.418.4-3.0115.819.9-4.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.63,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 102, MIN 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.46,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.15,0.27,091.1%
DAL 116, DEN 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.68,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.29,0.22,0.02,090.0%
NYK 89, DAL 910.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.42,188.1%