NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	7.9 [259]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): +14.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	1.5 [384]		LVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): -22.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	11	75%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	72%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	28	61%	0.15	4	-0.10	14	86%	0.07
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.04
Eric Snow	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.03	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.07	-0.03	9	47%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,-0.17,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	23	53%	0.07	2	-0.07	12	75%	-0.14
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.07	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Malik Sealy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	16	41%	-0.15	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	30.5	15.6	26.1	2.3	38.5	137.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +0.0%

PHI +44.3%

PHI +7.3%

MIN -7.6%

PHI +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.2	107.4	105.3	101.7
season	15.0	15.1		99.5	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.3	15.1	15.6	18.7	15.5
MIN	15.0	14.3	15.7	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	66	65	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-12	26	15.0	16.8	-1.74	15.6	13.1	2.49
Theo Ratliff	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	-3	8	14.9	18.2	-3.30	14.9	14.0	0.95
Eric Snow	79	81	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	2	-2	15.6	15.5	0.06	15.2	12.0	3.25
Tyrone Hill	81	81	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	2	-2	16.3	11.3	5.00	14.6	15.9	-1.36
Allen Iverson	89	91	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.36	-3	5	-8	15.7	13.2	2.54	14.6	18.0	-3.37
Aaron McKie	48	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	5	-8	15.9	15.2	0.70	13.1	16.4	-3.33
Matt Geiger	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	5	-8	15.1	15.8	-0.67	14.8	14.7	0.11
Todd MacCulloch	1	0	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	0	2	18.0	15.5	2.48	0.0	14.8	-14.77
Kevin Ollie	3	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	4	-6	16.7	15.5	1.16	17.0	14.7	2.26

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mitchell	13	13	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-7	12	13.4	15.0	-1.60	15.8	15.5	0.35
Bobby Jackson	35	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-6	10	13.6	15.5	-1.90	17.2	14.5	2.69
Dean Garrett	22	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	0	-2	14.3	14.9	-0.65	16.3	15.3	1.00
Rasho Nesterovic	4	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	4	-10	23.5	14.4	9.12	14.7	15.6	-0.83
Tom Hammonds	19	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	1	-4	14.7	14.8	-0.04	17.3	15.1	2.20
Malik Sealy	52	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-1	0	14.7	14.9	-0.21	15.1	16.1	-1.02
Joe Smith	59	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-1	0	15.1	14.2	0.97	14.8	16.8	-2.03
Kevin Garnett	86	88	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.51	8	-10	18	14.2	19.8	-5.53	15.5	15.6	-0.03
Anthony Peeler	44	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-5	8	14.7	14.8	-0.12	14.7	16.3	-1.53
Terrell Brandon	70	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	5	-12	14.9	14.5	0.34	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Wally Szczerbiak	71	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.30	-10	8	-18	15.6	12.2	3.43	15.6	15.4	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.27,0	93.4%
HOU 102, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.16,0	92.7%
UTA 96, LAL 92	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0	92.6%