NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	9.1 [143]		MVP	Steven Adams (OKC): +14.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Comeback	1.4 [757]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -37.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.00	0.12	-0.00	15	47%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	10	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	7	44%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Sam Dekker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Nene	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	69%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Montrezl Harrell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Clint Capela	-0.03	0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	8	19%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.2,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21,-0.12,-0.21,-0.35	-0.21	-0.14	-0.00	23	39%	-0.00	8	-0.35	8	87%	0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	9	89%	0.24	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.16	-0.00	13	46%	-0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.2,-0.24,-0.29,-0.24,-0.1,-0.11,-0.37	-0.37	-0.15	-0.23	-0.01	25	44%	-0.20	8	-0.17	12	92%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.6	30.6	16.4	26.9	2.7	41.3	148.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +78.6%

OKC -17.0%

HOU +1.1%

OKC -12.0%

OKC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	OKC	NBA	HOU	OKC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.2	14.8	100.0	98.0	107.7
season	13.7	14.0		113.2	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.6	12.0	16.0	15.3	14.1
OKC	12.1	15.3	14.6	15.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	32	32	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.42	13	-10	23	13.2	14.5	-1.28	13.7	14.5	-0.73
Eric Gordon	70	67	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	0	3	14.2	14.1	0.09	15.2	12.4	2.77
Patrick Beverley	66	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	-2	7	14.2	14.0	0.15	14.5	13.8	0.64
James Harden	80	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	1	1	14.1	14.1	-0.01	13.4	17.3	-3.90
Trevor Ariza	75	75	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	3	-3	13.7	15.3	-1.64	13.4	16.8	-3.40
Sam Dekker	30	28	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	2	-1	14.5	14.0	0.53	17.4	13.0	4.35
Montrezl Harrell	25	26	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	-5	13	12.7	14.6	-1.86	16.8	13.4	3.40
Corey Brewer	23	23	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	5	-7	14.7	13.9	0.79	17.1	13.4	3.68
Ryan Anderson	70	72	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	3	-3	14.3	13.7	0.69	13.2	16.9	-3.72
Clint Capela	39	37	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.18	-15	18	-33	15.4	13.3	2.08	12.3	15.4	-3.12

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	45	45	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-8	13	16.7	12.3	4.36	14.4	13.9	0.41
Enes Kanter	25	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-7	11	17.7	13.1	4.56	15.3	13.7	1.64
Semaj Christon	22	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-2	1	18.7	13.0	5.73	13.8	14.2	-0.39
Anthony Morrow	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-4	5	15.5	12.8	2.69	14.3	13.9	0.44
Domantas Sabonis	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	3	-9	12.3	16.7	-4.36	14.2	14.0	0.15
Victor Oladipo	80	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-3	3	14.1	14.7	-0.53	13.8	15.3	-1.46
Russell Westbrook	79	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-1	-1	13.0	18.7	-5.73	14.2	13.8	0.39
Andre Roberson	79	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	1	-5	13.7	16.2	-2.53	14.2	14.0	0.22
Steven Adams	66	67	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.39	-12	9	-21	12.7	17.1	-4.43	13.6	15.2	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 80, CLE 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.08,0	93.6%
LAL 103, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.03,0.03,0.08,0	93.1%
MEM 80, UTA 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.09,0	93.0%