NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	80		Excitement	5.6 [663]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +10.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	74		Comeback	1.4 [430]		LVP	Cedric Henderson (CLE): -29.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.00	6	92%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Derrick McKey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Pope	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	16	53%	0.06	8	-0.21	4	75%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.10	-0.01	5	20%	-0.09	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.03	0.01	10	68%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Ferry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.01	8	69%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.08	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.02	12	52%	-0.02	5	-0.14	5	60%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.18,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	16	48%	-0.03	6	-0.15	12	75%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.22	-0.09	-0.01	3	36%	-0.12	7	-0.18	8	62%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	30.4	17.3	29.0	2.0	34.3	141.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.2%

IND +13.2%

IND +19.9%

CLE -11.2%

CLE -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	17.1	15.6	93.0	87.1	102.5
season	16.0	15.4		105.3	99.4
opponent	16.0	16.1		97.0	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	17.1	15.5	19.2	16.6
CLE	14.4	19.9	18.8	16.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	27	26	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.16	16	-10	26	15.4	17.1	-1.66	19.1	16.2	2.90
Antonio Davis	52	50	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-3	12	17.7	14.9	2.71	17.0	17.3	-0.35
Reggie Miller	67	67	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	16.5	16.8	-0.33	16.8	18.2	-1.42
Chris Mullin	71	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	6	-6	16.3	17.9	-1.64	16.7	19.1	-2.38
Travis Best	29	31	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	-1	8	15.7	17.0	-1.35	19.5	15.8	3.69
Mark Jackson	57	54	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	7	-8	17.0	15.7	1.35	15.8	19.5	-3.69
Jalen Rose	34	33	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	0	6	17.3	16.1	1.23	18.6	16.2	2.45
Dale Davis	34	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	7	-8	14.9	17.7	-2.86	16.8	17.3	-0.42
Mark West	4	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	8	-10	14.7	16.7	-1.92	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Mark Pope	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	9	-12	15.7	16.7	-1.02	14.4	17.4	-2.98
Rik Smits	46	47	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	13	-20	17.7	15.3	2.30	17.0	17.2	-0.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-4	2	16.0	17.2	-1.19	12.8	16.9	-4.03
Bob Sura	7	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-1	-4	21.4	16.7	4.71	12.3	16.9	-4.57
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	58	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-8	10	17.4	16.4	0.97	17.4	14.7	2.74
Wesley Person	73	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-10	14	17.2	16.8	0.32	17.0	13.9	3.10
Vitaly Potapenko	26	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	4	-14	16.7	17.3	-0.65	16.3	16.7	-0.36
Brevin Knight	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-6	6	17.1	17.2	-0.15	16.7	16.0	0.75
Shawn Kemp	72	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-4	2	17.6	14.6	2.94	16.3	18.0	-1.67
Derek Anderson	54	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	1	-8	17.1	17.2	-0.09	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Cedric Henderson	62	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	4	-14	16.1	19.8	-3.67	16.5	16.9	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, LAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.19,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.1,0	94.3%
MIL 99, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.29,0.16,0.16,0.15,0	93.9%
LAL 111, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.01,0	93.8%