NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	8.2 [238]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +41.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.6 [413]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -61.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.41	0.15	0.27	0.01	18	67%	0.44	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Metta World Peace	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.00	16	64%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Francisco Garcia	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.02
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Brad Miller	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Mike Bibby	-0.31	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.31	-0.06	-0.25	-0.00	14	40%	-0.10	2	-0.20	7	71%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	12	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	0.01	11	86%	0.24	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.04
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.00	12	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.02	0.02	-0.09	0.11	-0.01	24	36%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.11,-0.33,-0.62	-0.62	-0.11	-0.49	0.01	13	39%	-0.27	4	-0.34	2	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	31.3	15.7	23.2	1.8	37.2	132.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +10.0%

SAC +5.8%

SAC +12.5%

SAC +17.5%

SAC +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.8	15.4	108.7	107.7	104.5
season	14.7	15.4		104.7	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.1		105.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.9	13.8	19.1	15.1	15.6
MIN	16.4	17.5	15.1	14.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	15.7	15.2	0.51	15.4	17.9	-2.50
Kevin Martin	73	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	1	0	15.6	15.6	-0.00	15.7	16.3	-0.59
John Salmons	36	34	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	2	-2	15.5	15.7	-0.21	16.1	15.7	0.39
Brad Miller	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	-1	4	15.6	15.9	-0.32	15.3	17.6	-2.36
Kenny Thomas	57	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.52	-4	6	-10	16.0	15.0	1.06	15.9	15.7	0.17
Corliss Williamson	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	-4	10	14.8	16.6	-1.77	16.5	15.0	1.42
Mike Bibby	64	64	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	-3	8	15.5	16.0	-0.53	15.5	16.6	-1.01
Francisco Garcia	23	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	4	-6	16.8	15.2	1.59	17.6	15.3	2.36
Quincy Douby	10	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	3	-4	16.0	15.6	0.41	17.3	15.6	1.62

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	9	8	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-3	4	18.4	15.6	2.88	14.9	15.7	-0.83
Craig Smith	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-2	2	18.0	15.2	2.86	16.7	15.3	1.34
Mark Madsen	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-1	0	16.9	15.7	1.21	16.3	15.5	0.75
Mike James	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	1	-4	16.0	15.6	0.42	16.6	14.5	2.17
Marko Jaric	25	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.02	-8	6	-14	16.2	15.7	0.54	15.2	15.8	-0.63
Ricky Davis	71	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-7	12	15.6	16.8	-1.22	16.2	13.7	2.54
Randy Foye	45	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.39	2	-4	6	15.6	16.1	-0.53	14.1	17.1	-2.97
Trenton Hassell	74	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	1	-4	15.7	16.5	-0.84	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Kevin Garnett	80	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	15.7	16.9	-1.21	15.5	16.3	-0.75
Mark Blount	70	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.43	-2	0	-2	15.2	18.0	-2.86	15.3	16.7	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.16,0	93.4%
MEM 106, CLE 103	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.27,0.19,0.36,0.55,0.27,0	92.8%
GSW 94, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.31,0.21,0.43,0.27,0	92.7%