NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	9.3 [93]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +78.6%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	2.6 [604]		LVP	Dell Curry (TOR): -12.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	13	76%	0.22	3	-0.13	7	57%	-0.05
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.09,0.08	-0.04	0.12	-0.00	11	48%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07	-0.05	0.11	-0.00	9	40%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Francis	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
Walt Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Kenny Thomas	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Moochie Norris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0,0.11,0.79	0.79	0.10	0.70	0.01	28	60%	0.83	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.09
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.00	16	50%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	15	58%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	13	31%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.0	32.1	16.8	25.1	2.4	40.3	140.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +19.1%

TOR +10.3%

TOR +9.9%

TOR +9.8%

TOR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	16.6	15.2	111.4	114.9	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		102.4	101.8
opponent	14.9	14.6		102.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.6	18.5	14.7	19.1	16.3
TOR	15.2	16.6	18.9	16.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	49	48	0.48	-0.98	1.47	-0.10	20	-22	42	15.2	17.8	-2.63	17.5	15.5	1.99
Kelvin Cato	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.20	-10	8	-18	17.5	15.9	1.66	13.2	17.9	-4.66
Bryce Drew	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	2	-6	18.8	16.0	2.79	16.2	16.6	-0.44
Moochie Norris	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	5	-12	17.2	16.2	1.06	17.0	16.5	0.49
Walt Williams	69	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-7	12	15.8	18.4	-2.67	16.9	15.4	1.51
Hakeem Olajuwon	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.59	11	-13	24	15.4	17.6	-2.15	17.6	15.3	2.29
Carlos Rogers	21	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	9	-20	18.5	15.6	2.88	16.5	16.6	-0.05
Steve Francis	82	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.50	6	-8	14	16.3	17.3	-1.08	16.8	13.5	3.31
Shandon Anderson	76	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.45	3	-5	8	16.0	18.7	-2.71	16.6	16.7	-0.19
Cuttino Mobley	45	45	-1.07	0.57	-1.64	-0.40	-23	21	-44	17.8	14.8	2.96	15.5	17.8	-2.27

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	78	80	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-8	18	16.5	17.4	-0.96	16.3	16.4	-0.05
Dell Curry	33	34	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-13	28	15.0	17.6	-2.60	16.6	16.2	0.37
Antonio Davis	26	26	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	0	2	15.8	16.9	-1.06	18.0	15.6	2.43
Kevin Willis	49	50	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-12	26	16.0	17.4	-1.44	16.9	15.6	1.37
Vince Carter	77	78	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	3	-4	16.6	16.3	0.32	16.4	15.6	0.82
Muggsy Bogues	36	36	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	-6	14	16.2	16.9	-0.72	17.9	15.2	2.69
Doug Christie	60	59	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.65	-14	16	-30	17.5	14.4	3.11	15.6	17.8	-2.18
John Thomas	24	25	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.06	-13	15	-28	17.4	16.3	1.09	14.2	17.2	-3.03
Charles Oakley	52	52	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.03	-11	13	-24	17.5	15.3	2.22	15.4	17.7	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.56,0.56,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.54,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, SAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.32,0.72,1	90.2%
NYK 81, MIA 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.42,1	90.2%
UTA 104, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.34,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.46,0.68,0.99,1	89.9%