NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	81		Excitement	8.8 [126]		MVP	Chris Childs (NYK): +14.0%
Miami Heat	82		Comeback	4.2 [407]		LVP	Alonzo Mourning (MIA): -31.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	8	59%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	9	22%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	8	36%	-0.04	2	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.15	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	14	57%	0.19	4	-0.34	9	89%	0.10
Chris Mills	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.19	0.00	-0.18	0.01	12	48%	-0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Charles Oakley	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27	-0.05	-0.21	0.01	13	46%	-0.15	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.08,0.1	0.10	-0.08	0.16	-0.01	17	50%	0.24	4	-0.14	8	75%	-0.01
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mark Strickland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	11	41%	0.00	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.15	-0.15	0.01	12	52%	-0.06	5	-0.25	18	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	2.4	32.5	18.7	27.8	2.8	44.5	159.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +43.5%

NYK -16.7%

NYK -3.9%

MIA +17.8%

MIA +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.6	88.0	90.1	102.5
season	15.7	15.8		100.4	104.7
opponent	16.2	16.3		99.8	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	14.6	17.0	16.1	15.6
MIA	15.1	16.1	15.7	16.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Cummings	45	45	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.10	3	-4	7	17.0	14.3	2.79	15.6	16.1	-0.42
Buck Williams	21	24	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	17.8	15.0	2.84	17.0	15.5	1.50
Herb Williams	33	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-2	3	12.7	17.2	-4.51	14.9	16.3	-1.38
Anthony Bowie	1	1	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	2	-5	0.0	15.8	-15.79	20.0	15.8	4.19
John Starks	47	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	6	-13	15.7	15.5	0.17	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Charlie Ward	59	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.47	10	-11	21	15.6	15.7	-0.12	16.4	14.8	1.54
Chris Mills	65	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.56	6	-7	13	15.2	16.7	-1.59	15.8	16.1	-0.36
Charles Oakley	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	0	-1	16.4	13.6	2.85	16.3	14.7	1.62
Allan Houston	69	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.55	-3	2	-5	15.9	14.7	1.29	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Chris Childs	54	52	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.47	-12	11	-23	14.8	16.8	-2.04	15.7	16.1	-0.43

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Askins	41	43	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.41	13	-12	25	15.7	16.0	-0.23	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Voshon Lenard	75	75	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-3	7	15.9	15.7	0.13	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Alonzo Mourning	84	83	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-4	9	15.9	15.0	0.93	16.1	11.3	4.75
Dan Majerle	65	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.54	-6	7	-13	16.3	14.8	1.52	15.6	15.6	0.04
Tim Hardaway	78	80	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.51	-6	7	-13	15.9	15.5	0.46	15.1	19.2	-4.17
Eric Murdock	29	29	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	-3	7	15.6	16.0	-0.35	17.5	14.7	2.77
P.J. Brown	45	46	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	-1	3	16.7	15.0	1.73	16.5	14.8	1.72
Mark Strickland	14	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	4	-7	11.8	16.6	-4.81	11.9	16.3	-4.44
Terry Mills	24	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	9	-17	15.4	16.0	-0.65	15.1	15.8	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 97, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.58,1	92.0%
MIN 95, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.58,1	91.8%
NYK 90, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.42,1	91.8%