NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	9.0 [112]		MVP	Ron Harper (LAL): +12.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	4.0 [458]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -29.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09	-0.04	0.13	0.00	7	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Anthony Peeler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.07
Rasho Nesterovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Terrell Brandon	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26	-0.06	-0.21	-0.01	20	45%	-0.03	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.29,-0.29	-0.13	-0.16	0.00	19	36%	-0.25	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.07	0.02	8	83%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	-0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	24	59%	0.17	3	-0.13	8	62%	-0.02
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Celestand	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.09	0.00	18	53%	0.12	6	-0.14	11	100%	0.20
Glen Rice	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	31.9	19.0	24.8	2.8	48.2	154.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +27.2%

LAL +52.3%

MIN -25.7%

MIN -5.7%

LAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.2	103.3	111.0	101.7
season	15.1	15.3		103.5	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.7		98.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	18.6	15.6	15.4	16.1
LAL	15.9	11.9	18.0	15.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	20	20	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.11	4	-10	14	15.0	16.4	-1.42	16.3	15.1	1.27
Sam Mitchell	23	20	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.13	-1	-5	4	19.9	14.8	5.07	13.6	15.9	-2.26
Malik Sealy	40	42	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.04	1	-7	8	15.8	16.3	-0.50	17.8	13.3	4.54
Dean Garrett	25	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-6	6	16.1	16.1	0.02	13.9	15.9	-2.04
Rasho Nesterovic	39	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-6	6	15.6	16.5	-0.81	16.9	14.3	2.58
Joe Smith	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	3	-12	17.7	14.6	3.09	14.0	16.7	-2.65
Wally Szczerbiak	66	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.52	-1	-5	4	14.4	20.5	-6.17	15.9	13.7	2.29
Anthony Peeler	52	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	1	-8	16.3	15.8	0.50	13.3	17.8	-4.54
Kevin Garnett	78	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.41	-7	1	-8	15.8	17.9	-2.15	15.8	12.5	3.29
Terrell Brandon	72	71	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.43	-10	4	-14	16.4	15.0	1.42	15.1	16.3	-1.27

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	79	80	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-1	8	15.4	14.9	0.51	15.7	18.5	-2.75
Robert Horry	63	65	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-1	8	13.6	19.3	-5.67	16.2	15.9	0.36
Brian Shaw	38	39	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-3	12	14.3	16.1	-1.80	17.4	15.2	2.17
Glen Rice	57	57	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	5	-4	16.0	14.2	1.80	15.3	17.4	-2.08
Shaquille O'Neal	86	87	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-1	8	15.8	8.4	7.37	16.1	17.0	-0.94
Devean George	7	7	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	1	4	11.4	15.7	-4.26	17.1	16.0	1.12
Travis Knight	5	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	8.4	15.8	-7.37	17.0	16.1	0.94
John Celestand	20	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	3	0	13.7	15.8	-2.13	17.3	15.8	1.52
A.C. Green	28	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	7	-8	19.3	13.6	5.67	15.9	16.2	-0.36
Rick Fox	27	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	6	-6	15.0	15.5	-0.57	17.5	15.5	1.95
Ron Harper	45	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	13	-20	16.9	13.9	2.98	15.1	17.0	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 83, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.73,1	92.1%
NYK 81, MIA 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.42,1	91.8%
SEA 100, LAL 103	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.26,0.28,0.43,0.73,1	91.8%