NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	100		Excitement	9.1 [71]		MVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): +67.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	4.0 [269]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -38.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0.68	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.36,0.68	0.20	0.47	-0.01	10	95%	0.68	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0.34	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.34	0.24	0.13	0.02	23	74%	0.36	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	11	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	6	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Detlef Schrempf	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	11	38%	-0.05	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Vin Baker	-0.38	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31,-0.38	-0.23	-0.17	-0.02	20	31%	-0.28	2	-0.10	12	67%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0.23,0.59	0.59	0.07	0.53	0.01	14	61%	0.62	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	21	65%	0.26	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.07
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.09
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	26.3	16.0	21.2	2.6	34.1	128.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.6%

SEA -8.0%

LAL +20.5%

SEA -1.5%

LAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAL	NBA	SEA	LAL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.9	15.8	109.9	117.0	99.6
season	15.4	14.9		102.4	104.7
opponent	15.8	15.9		102.0	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.2	14.9	17.6	16.2	16.2
LAL	13.6	17.2	15.1	18.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Barry	19	21	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-7	11	14.5	16.7	-2.14	16.6	15.7	0.90
Aaron Williams	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-3	3	0.0	16.2	-16.22	3.0	16.1	-13.08
Hersey Hawkins	46	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-3	3	15.9	16.5	-0.58	15.0	16.8	-1.73
Billy Owens	48	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	7	-17	17.2	15.1	2.05	14.1	18.0	-3.87
Vin Baker	80	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-6	9	16.3	15.8	0.46	16.3	13.6	2.72
Gary Payton	79	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	16.6	13.7	2.84	16.3	13.8	2.54
Dale Ellis	54	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-4	5	15.3	17.6	-2.32	17.0	14.3	2.72
Detlef Schrempf	58	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-2	1	15.7	17.1	-1.32	16.6	14.6	1.99
Olden Polynice	71	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	7	-17	16.8	14.0	2.78	15.5	17.4	-1.97

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	69	72	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.42	11	-8	19	15.2	18.6	-3.38	16.8	13.8	3.01
Derek Harper	54	57	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.41	9	-6	15	15.8	16.2	-0.45	16.6	15.6	0.96
Rick Fox	47	46	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.49	5	-2	7	16.4	15.3	1.11	15.5	16.9	-1.41
Dennis Rodman	44	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.50	-6	9	-15	17.1	14.8	2.27	15.9	16.5	-0.58
Kobe Bryant	79	83	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.34	-1	4	-5	16.2	13.6	2.65	16.2	16.0	0.24
Travis Knight	44	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-6	15	14.8	17.1	-2.27	16.5	15.9	0.58
Eddie Jones	50	53	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	1	1	15.0	17.1	-2.11	16.8	15.4	1.37
Derek Fisher	34	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	9	-15	16.2	15.8	0.45	15.6	16.6	-0.96
Elden Campbell	19	19	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.06	-8	11	-19	18.6	15.2	3.38	13.8	16.8	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.26,0.28,0.43,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 90, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.61,0.39,0.22,0.45,0.85,1	92.1%
SAS 89, GSW 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.35,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.55,0.72,1	91.8%
MIN 95, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.58,1	91.8%