NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	90		Excitement	7.3 [341]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (NOH): +30.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	3.6 [495]		LVP	Baron Davis (NOH): -25.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.11	0.17	-0.02	12	69%	0.30	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Robert Traylor	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	6	85%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	9	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.12	0.00	6	71%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.12	-0.01	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.26	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.16	-0.11	-0.01	19	50%	-0.09	7	-0.17	12	83%	0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	-0.01	22	59%	0.25	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.19,0.19	0.19	-0.01	0.21	0.02	16	58%	0.27	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	12	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	5	67%	0.09	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	4	44%	-0.03	2	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.8	26.8	15.8	24.5	2.6	38.0	135.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +48.0%

NOH -17.4%

MIN +9.2%

MIN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIN	NBA	NOH	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	15.1	15.7	98.9	107.8	100.5
season	16.0	15.6		99.3	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.7		98.4	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.7	14.5	18.4	20.2	16.7
MIN	12.0	16.8	17.6	14.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	40	39	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.08	9	-16	25	15.8	17.5	-1.65	14.6	15.5	-0.84
Sean Rooks	15	15	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-8	9	16.8	16.7	0.09	16.1	14.9	1.17
Robert Traylor	29	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-2	-3	18.2	16.0	2.23	15.3	15.0	0.34
Baron Davis	63	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	16.7	16.8	-0.14	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Steven Smith	41	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-6	5	17.4	16.2	1.25	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Jamaal Magloire	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-3	-1	16.7	16.7	0.02	15.0	15.5	-0.52
P.J. Brown	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	16.1	19.0	-2.92	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Darrell Armstrong	78	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	2	-11	16.4	18.7	-2.29	15.4	13.2	2.22
Stacey Augmon	51	51	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.21	-16	9	-25	17.5	15.8	1.65	15.5	14.6	0.84

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	49	50	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-7	21	14.3	16.0	-1.67	17.0	16.3	0.70
Mark Madsen	48	49	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-7	21	14.9	15.3	-0.46	17.8	15.5	2.28
Latrell Sprewell	76	76	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.36	10	-3	13	14.9	16.0	-1.08	16.6	17.5	-0.97
Kevin Garnett	77	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	-2	11	15.1	15.0	0.10	16.9	16.1	0.79
Sam Cassell	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	3	1	15.0	15.3	-0.32	16.8	16.5	0.28
Ervin Johnson	16	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.16	-7	14	-21	16.1	14.9	1.18	13.7	17.4	-3.69
Troy Hudson	29	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	7	-7	15.2	15.0	0.12	17.2	16.5	0.66
Gary Trent	13	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	9	-11	15.0	15.1	-0.10	16.1	16.9	-0.79
Oliver Miller	25	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.09	-1	8	-9	15.2	15.1	0.10	16.6	16.8	-0.15
Trenton Hassell	52	52	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	13	-19	16.0	13.9	2.11	16.3	17.3	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.61,0.39,0.22,0.45,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 100, LAL 103	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.26,0.28,0.43,0.73,1	92.1%
SAS 89, GSW 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.35,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.55,0.72,1	91.3%
SEA 91, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	91.1%