NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	9.3 [85]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +19.3%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	2.6 [192]		LVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): -32.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.09	0.02	14	72%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Sam Perkins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.02	-0.04	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.03
Vin Baker	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.02,0.09,0.09	-0.07	0.14	-0.01	10	58%	0.25	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.06
Jim McIlvaine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11	0.05	-0.14	0.02	16	54%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.26	-0.08	-0.19	-0.01	12	29%	-0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.12,-0.33	-0.03	-0.30	-0.00	9	56%	-0.11	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.10	-0.04	15	56%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.11,0.34,0.34,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	15	44%	0.13	1	-0.16	4	50%	-0.16
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	16	53%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.06
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	8	44%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.14	0.01	10	50%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	6	50%	-0.03	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	24.5	16.4	27.5	2.5	39.2	134.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +19.9%

NYK +1.0%

NYK +16.0%

NYK +8.0%

NYK +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NYK	NBA	SEA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.6	16.7	15.6	107.1	104.5	102.5
season	15.3	15.7		109.3	100.4
opponent	16.3	16.2		98.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.9	17.4	16.4	16.7	16.6
NYK	15.4	16.1	16.3	19.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	26	27	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.01	10	-11	21	13.6	17.9	-4.28	18.1	16.1	2.08
Greg Anthony	11	12	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-2	3	16.3	16.6	-0.36	21.8	15.9	5.94
David Wingate	18	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.14	-6	5	-11	16.4	16.6	-0.18	13.3	17.5	-4.23
Sam Perkins	48	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	2	-5	17.3	15.6	1.66	16.3	17.2	-0.94
Aaron Williams	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	2	-5	17.8	16.5	1.34	8.3	17.3	-8.98
Detlef Schrempf	69	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-3	5	16.1	18.8	-2.74	17.2	14.6	2.62
Hersey Hawkins	63	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-2	3	16.7	16.1	0.61	17.2	15.4	1.72
Gary Payton	74	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.46	-2	1	-3	16.6	16.3	0.36	15.9	21.8	-5.94
Vin Baker	58	61	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.64	1	-2	3	16.6	16.5	0.16	17.4	15.2	2.19
Dale Ellis	52	54	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.51	-6	5	-11	17.7	14.8	2.99	16.4	17.1	-0.72

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	51	49	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.40	13	-12	25	16.2	17.4	-1.12	17.5	15.3	2.18
Allan Houston	66	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.58	-1	2	-3	17.8	13.5	4.33	16.3	17.5	-1.29
Charlie Ward	52	50	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-2	5	17.5	15.5	1.99	15.9	17.6	-1.72
Charles Oakley	58	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	5	-9	16.1	17.9	-1.86	16.7	16.4	0.21
Larry Johnson	69	68	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	-6	13	17.4	14.0	3.45	16.2	18.0	-1.76
Buck Williams	46	43	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.33	-3	4	-7	16.5	16.9	-0.43	16.8	16.4	0.46
Chris Childs	36	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	3	-5	15.5	17.5	-1.99	17.6	15.9	1.72
Chris Mills	35	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	2	-3	14.3	18.3	-4.06	17.7	15.8	1.87
Chris Dudley	27	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	8	-15	17.9	16.2	1.76	14.6	17.5	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.31,0.6,0.66,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.59,1	91.1%
NOH 90, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.61,0.39,0.22,0.45,0.85,1	91.1%
HOU 98, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.42,1	90.9%