NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	85		Excitement	5.3 [739]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +4.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	2.5 [943]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -16.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.01	0.08	7	86%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	24	52%	0.05	5	-0.10	4	25%	-0.03
Sam Jacobson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	7	53%	0.05	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Billy Owens	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	13	31%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	23	48%	-0.04	5	-0.13	8	62%	-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	6	72%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	9	62%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	6	42%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	61%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	8	41%	-0.08	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	27	44%	-0.09	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	46.3	2.6	28.8	15.8	23.2	2.5	27.4	146.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +1.5%

SEA +20.3%

SEA +10.2%

SEA +22.8%

GSW -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SEA	NBA	GSW	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	15.2	85.9	99.0	101.7
season	14.7	14.9		97.2	103.5
opponent	15.4	14.7		102.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.2	18.8	14.6	15.1	15.3
SEA	12.1	14.6	14.8	13.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Caffey	79	79	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-13	12	15.6	13.7	1.95	13.5	14.3	-0.74
Larry Hughes	91	93	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-12	10	15.0	18.2	-3.26	13.7	13.4	0.29
Adonal Foyle	58	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-8	2	15.0	15.7	-0.69	14.1	13.1	0.94
Erick Dampier	38	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-6	-2	15.2	15.3	-0.03	13.2	14.0	-0.75
Mookie Blaylock	88	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-5	-4	15.0	17.1	-2.07	14.3	9.9	4.34
Donyell Marshall	94	95	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-3	-8	14.8	23.2	-8.37	13.9	10.2	3.68
Sam Jacobson	19	21	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	1	-16	17.6	14.7	2.88	10.7	14.5	-3.78
Billy Owens	28	28	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	4	-22	16.2	14.9	1.29	13.7	13.7	0.07

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	85	86	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-3	20	13.8	12.9	0.90	15.0	17.2	-2.19
Jelani McCoy	35	34	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	2	10	14.2	13.4	0.81	14.6	15.6	-0.92
Emanual Davis	25	25	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	4	6	13.0	13.9	-0.93	16.8	14.7	2.02
Rashard Lewis	45	44	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	10	-6	13.4	13.9	-0.51	13.6	16.5	-2.91
Horace Grant	73	74	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	5	4	13.8	13.5	0.25	14.9	16.4	-1.54
Ruben Patterson	56	55	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	6	2	13.7	13.7	0.03	16.5	13.6	2.91
Greg Foster	40	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	7	0	13.2	14.0	-0.88	16.6	14.4	2.21
Brent Barry	64	64	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	9	-4	14.5	12.3	2.22	15.6	14.7	0.92
Vin Baker	47	48	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	12	-10	14.1	13.3	0.81	15.3	15.2	0.04
Vladimir Stepania	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	11.0	13.8	-2.81	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Shammond Williams	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	11.0	13.8	-2.81	14.0	15.3	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 94, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAC 93, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
ATL 105, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.7%