NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	11.4 [23]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +67.7%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	14.5 [60]		LVP	Vitaly Potapenko (BOS): -28.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.68	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,0.09,0.68	0.03	0.65	0.00	23	56%	0.83	3	-0.16	4	75%	0.02
Doug Christie	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.2,0.2	0.05	0.19	0.04	14	58%	0.20	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.06	0.00	17	49%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.06	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.04
John Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haywoode Workman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	7	19%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	9	30%	-0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.09

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,0.02,0.23	0.23	-0.04	0.27	0.00	17	51%	0.30	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.03
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.07	0.01	21	60%	0.20	6	-0.16	3	67%	-0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	17	58%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	6	35%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	6	25%	-0.20	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.15
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28	-0.28	-0.12	-0.16	0.00	7	36%	-0.22	2	-0.07	8	25%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.0	29.2	15.4	31.6	2.3	36.4	142.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +22.8%

TOR +33.4%

BOS -8.1%

BOS -3.1%

TOR +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.5	15.2	101.1	98.9	101.7
season	15.5	14.7		101.8	102.4
opponent	15.1	14.9		103.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.1	12.4	16.3	17.4	15.9
BOS	16.2	14.3	13.7	13.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	73	74	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.57	6	-4	10	15.5	17.2	-1.72	14.2	15.5	-1.31
Doug Christie	53	53	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.57	5	-3	8	15.4	16.5	-1.06	13.2	16.0	-2.82
Dell Curry	27	29	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.47	6	-4	10	14.2	16.5	-2.29	14.3	14.5	-0.25
Vince Carter	80	79	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.55	2	0	2	16.0	14.9	1.10	14.7	13.1	1.60
Tracy McGrady	83	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	4	-6	16.3	13.2	3.09	14.0	17.6	-3.58
Haywoode Workman	10	10	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	-1	4	11.2	16.4	-5.21	12.6	14.7	-2.07
Kevin Willis	29	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.17	3	-1	4	15.3	16.1	-0.85	15.7	13.9	1.78
Charles Oakley	70	69	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	6	-10	16.1	15.1	1.06	14.6	14.1	0.52
John Thomas	17	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.09	-4	6	-10	18.2	15.4	2.82	14.7	14.4	0.36
Muggsy Bogues	33	33	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.11	-5	7	-12	17.6	15.0	2.62	16.8	13.2	3.58

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	15	13	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.23	0	-2	2	16.0	14.2	1.84	17.3	15.6	1.67
Danny Fortson	37	38	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-7	12	14.1	14.7	-0.52	16.7	15.3	1.46
Kenny Anderson	67	67	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-3	4	14.1	15.2	-1.08	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Tony Battie	21	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	3	-8	15.1	14.3	0.89	12.9	16.7	-3.75
Walter McCarty	26	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	1	-4	15.5	14.1	1.39	17.0	15.4	1.54
Antoine Walker	85	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-3	4	14.2	16.7	-2.51	16.1	13.8	2.31
Adrian Griffin	64	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	14.2	15.0	-0.86	14.5	18.3	-3.78
Vitaly Potapenko	52	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.42	-4	2	-6	14.4	14.5	-0.07	16.9	14.6	2.27
Paul Pierce	81	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.57	0	-2	2	14.1	16.2	-2.07	15.7	17.0	-1.32
Doug Overton	27	28	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.52	-3	1	-4	15.8	13.9	1.85	16.4	15.7	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.62,0.8,0.77,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.54,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, CLE 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.58,0	91.1%
SAS 92, DAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0	90.6%
LAL 111, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	90.6%