NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	9.5 [94]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +39.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	2.6 [716]		LVP	Kevin Ollie (MIN): -13.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39	0.17	0.21	-0.00	14	74%	0.43	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Derek Fisher	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.15,0.15	-0.00	0.14	-0.00	8	50%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	-0.01	0.01	13	69%	0.22	1	-0.09	10	70%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	21	57%	0.14	6	-0.17	7	86%	0.06
Jordan Farmar	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	6	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	10	90%	0.29	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.09	-0.00	13	48%	0.17	1	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.00	5	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	10	70%	0.17	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0	0.00	0.07	-0.05	0.02	17	59%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	17	54%	0.17	4	-0.19	3	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	55%	0.04	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.5	28.3	15.5	28.2	2.6	35.2	137.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -7.6%

LAL +23.2%

LAL +23.5%

LAL +18.7%

MIN -7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.5	15.5	111.0	105.9	106.4
season	14.9	15.8		110.6	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.4		109.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.7	13.9	13.4	16.2	14.1
MIN	17.9	13.8	13.8	12.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	85	86	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.46	9	-6	15	14.2	13.3	0.92	14.6	13.8	0.77
Pau Gasol	81	82	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-5	13	13.6	16.0	-2.41	14.7	13.4	1.26
Luke Walton	59	62	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	0	3	14.2	13.9	0.25	15.5	12.8	2.65
Derek Fisher	52	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	2	-1	14.2	13.9	0.26	15.6	13.0	2.57
Kobe Bryant	75	77	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	3	-3	14.0	14.2	-0.15	14.8	13.4	1.35
Sasha Vujacic	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.01	3	0	3	14.2	14.0	0.15	13.4	14.8	-1.35
Jordan Farmar	48	45	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	1	1	13.9	14.2	-0.26	13.0	15.6	-2.57
Trevor Ariza	41	40	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	3	-3	13.9	14.2	-0.25	12.8	15.5	-2.65
DJ Mbenga	6	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	9	-15	13.8	14.1	-0.23	15.4	14.4	1.04
Josh Powell	28	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.03	-5	8	-13	15.0	13.7	1.32	13.2	15.0	-1.80

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	48	48	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.08	9	-12	21	15.1	13.9	1.29	13.3	14.8	-1.50
Kevin Ollie	36	35	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-6	9	13.9	14.8	-0.88	14.1	14.0	0.05
Craig Smith	38	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-3	3	12.8	15.4	-2.62	14.3	13.9	0.42
Ryan Gomes	87	83	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.35	3	-6	9	14.8	12.5	2.26	14.1	13.9	0.13
Randy Foye	82	81	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-4	5	14.5	14.2	0.26	13.9	14.6	-0.72
Rodney Carney	31	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	4	-11	13.4	14.9	-1.54	14.9	13.7	1.28
Mike Miller	68	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	3	-9	15.4	12.6	2.76	13.6	14.9	-1.26
Sebastian Telfair	66	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	3	-9	14.8	13.9	0.88	14.0	14.1	-0.05
Jason Collins	54	52	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	9	-21	13.9	15.1	-1.29	14.8	13.3	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.27,0	92.2%
PHI 101, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.41,0	91.4%
DET 88, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.47,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.14,0.42,0	91.4%