NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	88		Excitement	8.2 [219]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): +35.3%
Toronto Raptors	84		Comeback	3.6 [194]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -34.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.35	0.08	0.27	-0.00	17	61%	0.41	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	8	68%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jon Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.07	-0.01	10	15%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.35	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.23,-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.00	20	38%	-0.24	2	-0.11	10	80%	0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.08	-0.03	6	92%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	14	54%	0.18	1	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	11%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.22	-0.22	0.03	-0.23	0.02	21	60%	-0.05	4	-0.17	5	80%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.06	-0.00	6	14%	-0.10	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.7	26.3	15.4	22.5	2.6	35.0	127.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +8.9%

TOR -1.1%

DET +12.2%

DET +31.6%

TOR -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	16.8	17.3	15.6	103.5	100.0	102.3
season	15.7	16.2		101.9	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		100.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.9	16.4	20.0	16.1	16.8
TOR	16.5	17.9	16.0	18.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	69	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.51	3	1	2	16.7	16.9	-0.21	16.7	19.6	-2.92
Jerry Stackhouse	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	0	4	16.6	17.2	-0.63	16.7	19.4	-2.65
Dana Barros	45	46	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	-1	6	16.8	16.7	0.17	16.7	18.1	-1.38
Michael Curry	53	51	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.44	-2	6	-8	16.7	16.9	-0.23	16.3	18.9	-2.61
Clifford Robinson	60	60	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.38	-2	6	-8	17.8	14.4	3.41	17.2	17.5	-0.25
Jon Barry	34	34	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	-1	6	16.0	17.3	-1.23	18.4	16.6	1.78
Mikki Moore	6	6	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	0	4	14.3	16.9	-2.62	17.0	17.3	-0.35
Corliss Williamson	20	19	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	1	2	17.9	16.4	1.48	19.4	16.7	2.65
Zeljko Rebraca	35	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	1	2	15.5	17.6	-2.08	18.6	16.4	2.24
Damon Jones	39	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	7	-10	17.1	16.5	0.62	18.5	16.4	2.18

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	32	33	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.02	5	-9	14	18.2	16.8	1.45	17.9	16.1	1.82
Morris Peterson	43	43	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-9	14	16.2	18.5	-2.33	16.8	16.7	0.10
Tracy Murray	22	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-1	-2	19.7	16.5	3.20	17.3	16.6	0.68
Dell Curry	11	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-2	0	17.1	17.4	-0.27	14.8	17.0	-2.23
Vince Carter	65	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.34	2	-6	8	17.2	17.9	-0.74	17.1	15.6	1.46
Hakeem Olajuwon	74	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	17.3	17.4	-0.09	16.8	16.2	0.61
Chris Childs	41	42	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.32	-9	5	-14	18.5	16.2	2.33	16.7	16.8	-0.10
Alvin Williams	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.47	-5	1	-6	16.8	20.1	-3.30	16.6	17.6	-1.01
Antonio Davis	62	61	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	6	-16	16.9	18.6	-1.72	16.1	18.5	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.47,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.14,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	91.4%
TOR 96, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.62,0.8,0.77,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.54,0.45,0.42,0	90.5%
NYK 83, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.63,0.22,0.31,0	90.3%