NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	7.6 [313]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +27.5%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	1.9 [764]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -31.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	17	65%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.05	0.09	-0.09	0.06	21	64%	-0.02	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.04
Jim McIlvaine	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kendall Gill	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	13	36%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	-0.32	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.33,-0.33,-0.32	-0.15	-0.16	0.01	16	43%	-0.17	4	-0.14	10	70%	-0.06

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27	0.27	0.26	0.06	0.04	11	108%	0.31	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	22	64%	0.16	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	11	54%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	9	35%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	27.8	15.4	24.4	2.0	35.2	131.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +50.2%

UTA +15.4%

NJN -11.6%

NJN -7.1%

UTA +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.2	112.2	117.8	101.7
season	15.5	16.3		102.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.7		100.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.3	17.0	16.3	16.8	16.1
UTA	15.7	15.7	16.5	15.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	24	25	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	14.8	16.5	-1.74	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Elliot Perry	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-3	1	20.5	15.4	5.12	17.0	15.8	1.23
Jamie Feick	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-1	-3	22.0	15.2	6.85	17.0	15.8	1.23
Kendall Gill	48	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	16.8	15.2	1.64	15.8	16.1	-0.26
Johnny Newman	42	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-4	3	15.2	16.8	-1.64	16.1	15.8	0.26
Jim McIlvaine	78	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-5	5	15.2	22.0	-6.85	16.0	15.8	0.19
Stephon Marbury	78	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	15.4	20.5	-5.12	15.8	17.0	-1.23
Kerry Kittles	84	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	15.9	18.2	-2.25	15.9	16.5	-0.61
Keith Van Horn	72	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	3	-11	16.7	13.7	3.00	15.9	16.1	-0.15

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	76	76	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-7	19	15.8	16.8	-1.01	16.2	15.1	1.18
John Stockton	58	58	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.39	11	-6	17	15.4	16.8	-1.36	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Karl Malone	82	82	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-2	9	16.1	13.9	2.26	16.0	16.4	-0.34
Jeff Hornacek	71	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	7	-9	16.0	15.8	0.12	14.9	20.3	-5.44
Armen Gilliam	17	17	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	4	-3	14.6	16.2	-1.59	14.2	16.5	-2.33
Olden Polynice	41	41	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	9	-13	15.4	16.4	-1.04	16.4	15.8	0.55
Jacque Vaughn	9	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	2	1	16.7	15.9	0.81	17.6	15.9	1.71
Adam Keefe	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	-1	7	16.2	15.8	0.42	18.1	15.3	2.84
Greg Ostertag	15	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	17.3	15.7	1.68	15.0	16.3	-1.26
Quincy Lewis	22	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.02	-3	8	-11	16.8	15.6	1.17	18.1	15.3	2.75
Howard Eisley	34	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.08	-4	9	-13	16.3	15.7	0.58	16.2	16.0	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 99, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.69,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.5%
PHX 76, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.98,1,1	92.1%
DET 100, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.75,0.71,0.9,0.92,1	92.0%