NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	99		Excitement	6.5 [497]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +16.5%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	1.7 [753]		LVP	Jason Caffey (MIL): -12.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	11	93%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.10
Mark Pope	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	2	125%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	23	58%	0.11	7	-0.17	7	86%	0.01
Scott Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	44%	0.04	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.12	-0.02	11	71%	0.28	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	13	70%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.01	3	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.03	0.04	18	67%	0.13	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.05
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.07	0.01	20	40%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	27.4	24.7	20.7	1.8	31.2	131.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +18.9%

PHX +19.2%

MIL -6.3%

PHX +18.5%

MIL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.5	108.8	116.5	100.9
season	14.9	14.9		105.9	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.8		96.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	14.4	16.9	15.4	15.4
PHX	13.6	15.6	17.4	18.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-8	9	16.8	14.7	2.08	14.8	16.9	-2.08
Darvin Ham	64	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-10	13	15.1	16.0	-0.90	16.1	16.6	-0.49
Jason Caffey	48	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-1	-5	14.7	16.2	-1.43	15.9	16.6	-0.76
Mark Pope	28	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-5	3	15.0	15.6	-0.54	16.6	16.1	0.52
Rafer Alston	42	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-4	1	14.4	16.3	-1.90	17.4	15.2	2.14
Ray Allen	85	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	15.4	15.8	-0.46	16.2	17.5	-1.35
Tim Thomas	71	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	15.8	14.1	1.67	16.7	14.4	2.31
Scott Williams	26	25	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	3	-13	16.6	14.9	1.69	16.6	16.1	0.49
Lindsey Hunter	61	61	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	3	-13	15.5	15.2	0.31	15.8	17.1	-1.28

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	63	64	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-6	19	15.8	17.2	-1.35	16.0	14.0	1.95
Shawn Marion	54	54	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	0	7	15.7	17.1	-1.41	15.5	15.3	0.18
Clifford Robinson	75	74	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	1	5	16.6	14.4	2.27	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Rodney Rogers	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-1	9	16.5	15.5	1.00	15.2	16.2	-1.08
Jason Kidd	79	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	3	1	16.7	13.2	3.45	15.8	12.6	3.25
Tom Gugliotta	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	3	1	15.7	16.6	-0.87	14.9	15.8	-0.85
Vinny Del Negro	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	3	1	14.5	16.5	-1.96	14.5	15.5	-1.02
Elliot Perry	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	8	-9	7.0	16.4	-9.45	3.0	15.7	-12.69
Jake Tsakalidis	12	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	13.2	16.7	-3.54	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Chris Dudley	23	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	18.0	15.6	2.41	17.1	14.9	2.20
Tony Delk	28	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	14	-21	17.2	15.8	1.35	14.6	15.8	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.69,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.5%
LAC 91, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.89,1,1,1	92.5%
CLE 86, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,1,1	92.3%