NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	76		Excitement	7.1 [397]		MVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): +9.0%
Charlotte Hornets	87		Comeback	1.8 [749]		LVP	Bo Outlaw (PHX): -25.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	9	50%	0.08	3	-0.10	6	67%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	28	53%	0.11	4	-0.18	3	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	23	37%	-0.12	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	11	18%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.20	-0.08	-0.02	8	11%	-0.10	4	-0.16	2	0%	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.07	0.03	11	61%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.02	0.04	6	71%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	23	46%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	6	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.09
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	10	54%	0.00	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	3	44%	-0.05	3	-0.10	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.7	30.5	15.5	25.5	2.3	32.4	135.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +44.9%

PHX -1.6%

PHX -10.8%

CHH +17.8%

PHX -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHH	NBA	PHX	CHH	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	15.6	80.9	94.6	102.3
season	15.1	15.9		101.0	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	17.3	13.9	19.4	16.1
CHH	15.6	12.7	14.9	16.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	15	15	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.07	-2	-9	7	18.1	15.7	2.35	14.1	15.0	-0.87
Dan Majerle	10	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-8	5	18.0	15.9	2.13	10.3	15.3	-5.02
Bo Outlaw	78	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-7	3	15.5	19.1	-3.65	15.3	12.3	2.97
Joe Johnson	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	15.5	16.8	-1.32	14.5	15.3	-0.87
Alton Ford	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-7	3	16.4	15.6	0.78	15.2	14.4	0.87
Jake Tsakalidis	48	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-1	-9	16.5	15.7	0.83	14.3	15.4	-1.12
Anfernee Hardaway	50	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	0	-11	17.2	14.8	2.36	15.2	14.5	0.77
Shawn Marion	85	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	15.7	19.7	-3.95	15.0	12.6	2.48
Stephon Marbury	79	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	-2	-7	15.7	18.1	-2.35	15.0	14.1	0.87

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	41	41	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-5	21	15.1	14.7	0.39	16.4	15.9	0.52
Elden Campbell	59	63	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.16	19	-8	27	14.3	15.8	-1.54	16.8	14.6	2.16
David Wesley	76	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.11	14	-3	17	15.1	13.8	1.27	15.6	18.5	-2.90
Baron Davis	63	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	0	11	15.3	13.9	1.46	16.9	14.3	2.58
Jamal Mashburn	89	92	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	1	9	14.8	17.0	-2.21	16.1	17.0	-0.92
Lee Nailon	34	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	10	-9	14.1	15.3	-1.13	16.5	15.9	0.61
Stacey Augmon	28	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	15	-19	15.3	14.7	0.61	15.4	16.4	-1.02
Jamaal Magloire	38	38	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	16	-21	15.4	14.5	0.91	15.4	16.6	-1.22
George Lynch	32	34	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	18	-25	14.1	15.2	-1.13	15.2	16.6	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.85,0.99,1,1	92.7%
UTA 85, NOH 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
HOU 107, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.9,1	92.3%