NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	7.5 [287]		MVP	Tariq Abdul-Wahad (SAC): +6.9%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	4.0 [324]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): -15.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	69%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Nick Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.01	12	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.07	-0.02	12	54%	0.05	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Derek Harper	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	8	56%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	11	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Bo Outlaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	13	59%	-0.03	3	-0.10	15	67%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	10	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	10	80%	-0.02
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	4	50%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	15	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	16	39%	-0.02	3	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	27.2	15.6	21.3	2.4	37.6	129.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +27.7%

ORL -4.9%

SAC +33.2%

ORL -3.2%

ORL -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SAC	NBA	ORL	SAC	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	15.6	102.1	113.7	102.5
season	16.7	15.2		100.3	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.6		104.3	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.7	15.8	20.6	14.4	16.1
SAC	14.1	15.5	16.4	12.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Schayes	27	29	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.12	1	-13	14	16.6	15.9	0.73	16.5	13.5	2.98
Brian Evans	21	21	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-13	14	14.5	16.5	-2.06	14.2	14.5	-0.22
Gerald Wilkins	14	13	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-12	12	15.7	16.1	-0.42	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Nick Anderson	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-12	12	13.8	16.4	-2.59	14.8	14.3	0.44
Vernon Maxwell	39	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-7	2	14.9	16.9	-2.06	14.1	14.6	-0.46
Mark Price	55	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-10	8	15.0	17.6	-2.55	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Darrell Armstrong	41	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	2	-16	17.4	15.0	2.42	14.1	14.7	-0.58
Derek Harper	55	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-3	-6	16.9	14.9	2.06	14.6	14.1	0.46
Bo Outlaw	61	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	-5	-2	17.6	13.3	4.32	16.0	11.3	4.67
Horace Grant	77	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.19	-15	3	-18	15.8	17.4	-1.63	13.4	18.6	-5.18
Rony Seikaly	67	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	-2	-8	15.9	16.6	-0.73	13.5	16.5	-2.98

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	76	75	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.26	17	-5	22	14.1	15.7	-1.59	16.2	15.5	0.69
Bobby Hurley	36	34	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-3	18	12.6	15.5	-2.90	14.0	17.2	-3.25
Mitch Richmond	82	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-2	16	14.2	15.9	-1.75	16.4	13.7	2.76
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	49	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-1	14	13.7	15.2	-1.56	14.9	17.3	-2.32
Olden Polynice	38	38	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	10	-8	15.2	13.9	1.29	14.9	16.9	-1.94
Michael Stewart	57	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.13	8	4	4	13.9	15.2	-1.29	16.9	14.9	1.94
Billy Owens	46	46	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	13	-14	15.2	13.7	1.56	17.3	14.9	2.32
Terry Dehere	13	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	12	-12	15.9	14.2	1.75	13.7	16.4	-2.76
Anthony Johnson	59	60	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.08	-3	15	-18	15.5	12.6	2.90	17.2	14.0	3.25
Mark Hendrickson	19	19	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.11	-5	17	-22	15.7	14.1	1.59	15.5	16.2	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.85,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.2%
PHX 76, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.98,1,1	92.7%
CHI 80, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.89,0.96,1	92.4%