NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	7.0 [424]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +27.0%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	1.9 [435]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -18.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	10	75%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.01	3	90%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Omer Asik	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.02	-0.03	8	12%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	14	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.03	-0.11	0.04	32	45%	-0.01	3	-0.17	11	82%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.15	-0.00	11	83%	0.33	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.02	0.04	14	77%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	22	43%	0.19	2	-0.13	9	78%	0.03
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	0.02	12	50%	0.09	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	11	50%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	3.6	33.0	17.8	30.2	3.6	38.0	156.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +48.5%

ATL +2.0%

CHI -2.5%

CHI -0.1%

ATL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.5	97.8	111.1	105.7
season	15.7	16.5		106.5	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.9		105.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	15.6	17.9	14.0	15.7
ATL	16.5	15.1	15.6	18.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	21	22	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.05	4	-16	20	16.7	15.4	1.28	20.3	15.0	5.30
Omer Asik	23	23	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.02	4	-16	20	15.6	15.7	-0.11	17.1	16.0	1.10
CJ Watson	13	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-13	14	13.3	16.1	-2.78	16.7	16.2	0.51
Taj Gibson	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-6	0	15.6	15.7	-0.18	15.8	16.5	-0.76
Keith Bogans	34	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-5	-2	16.3	15.3	0.97	14.8	17.2	-2.37
Carlos Boozer	65	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-6	0	15.7	15.6	0.18	16.5	15.8	0.76
Luol Deng	83	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-3	-6	16.0	12.6	3.38	16.6	12.5	4.08
Derrick Rose	82	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.15	-12	0	-12	16.1	11.2	4.87	16.1	18.7	-2.68
Kyle Korver	37	38	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.17	-13	1	-14	13.9	17.0	-3.10	15.1	17.2	-2.18
Joakim Noah	67	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	4	-20	15.7	15.6	0.11	16.0	17.1	-1.10

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	81	83	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.13	18	-6	24	16.3	16.3	-0.02	16.0	12.6	3.38
Jamal Crawford	53	54	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	-4	20	16.9	15.4	1.49	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Jeff Teague	77	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	3	6	16.2	17.2	-0.99	15.3	17.9	-2.65
Joe Johnson	81	80	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	3	6	16.7	12.8	3.93	15.5	17.4	-1.92
Al Horford	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	4	4	16.8	15.5	1.21	15.4	16.2	-0.73
Jason Collins	21	22	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	9	-6	15.5	16.6	-1.09	16.9	15.3	1.61
Damien Wilkins	2	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	12	-12	13.5	16.4	-2.88	18.0	15.7	2.34
Marvin Williams	31	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	10	-8	14.8	17.1	-2.34	15.5	15.8	-0.26
Zaza Pachulia	47	46	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.08	-5	17	-22	16.1	16.5	-0.34	16.9	14.4	2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 119, WAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	93.4%
ORL 96, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.85,0.99,1,1	93.2%
NOH 100, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.64,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.69,0.95,0.98,0.98,1	92.4%