NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	76		Excitement	5.8 [658]		MVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (MIA): +8.8%
Miami Heat	85		Comeback	8.0 [213]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -25.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.06	0.02	17	59%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
John Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	9	45%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Childs	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	10	33%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Latrell Sprewell	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.18	-0.10	-0.03	16	39%	-0.08	7	-0.17	1	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	11	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	19	52%	0.10	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	11	45%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	37%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.8	29.1	18.7	22.7	3.0	36.3	138.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +57.6%

NYK -0.7%

NYK -10.9%

MIA +7.0%

NYK -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	17.9	17.0	15.2	92.7	102.4	101.7
season	16.1	15.7		100.0	101.2
opponent	15.9	15.8		98.2	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.5	19.8	19.9	19.3	17.9
MIA	17.1	16.2	18.0	16.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-5	1	15.5	18.3	-2.86	13.4	17.5	-4.18
John Wallace	27	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-1	-7	17.9	17.9	-0.00	16.2	17.3	-1.13
Patrick Ewing	65	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.20	-1	-8	7	17.2	20.8	-3.58	17.7	13.9	3.78
Kurt Thomas	61	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-7	5	19.3	13.8	5.53	17.0	16.9	0.12
Latrell Sprewell	72	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-5	1	17.6	20.4	-2.82	17.5	12.6	4.97
Allan Houston	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-4	-1	17.4	28.2	-10.85	16.7	22.7	-6.05
Larry Johnson	64	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	0	-9	18.7	15.1	3.68	17.1	16.7	0.41
Chris Childs	32	31	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.17	-12	3	-15	18.0	17.9	0.17	16.5	17.2	-0.70

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	59	59	0.75	-0.25	1.00	-0.01	26	-17	43	17.5	15.7	1.86	19.6	13.7	5.94
Bruce Bowen	38	38	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-9	27	17.0	17.0	-0.03	19.3	16.7	2.64
Jamal Mashburn	72	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	4	1	17.0	16.6	0.41	17.5	20.6	-3.11
Anthony Carter	25	25	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-1	11	17.3	16.8	0.48	20.8	16.6	4.19
P.J. Brown	71	68	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	10	-11	17.8	12.4	5.34	16.6	24.2	-7.58
Mark Strickland	19	21	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	-3	15	15.1	17.6	-2.51	22.1	16.5	5.60
Tim Hardaway	58	57	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.21	-1	10	-11	16.8	17.3	-0.48	16.6	20.8	-4.19
Dan Majerle	57	57	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.26	-7	16	-23	16.7	17.7	-1.03	17.3	19.4	-2.12
Duane Causwell	16	15	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.22	-17	26	-43	14.8	17.5	-2.69	12.4	19.2	-6.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	92.8%
NJN 88, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.98,1	92.3%
MIA 94, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.96,1,1	92.2%