NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	6.4 [529]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +17.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	4.6 [606]		LVP	Derrick Zimmerman (NJN): -18.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	12	58%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Nenad Krstic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	90%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	14	47%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Zoran Planinic	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	12	37%	-0.11	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Derrick Zimmerman	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	19	55%	0.20	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.03
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	54%	0.10	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	10	45%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	58%	0.12	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	26.3	15.8	25.1	1.8	40.1	132.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.7%

NJN -6.0%

PHI +12.5%

PHI +13.5%

NJN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	17.2	15.6	102.3	105.8	104.4
season	15.7	15.2		102.1	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.7		106.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.0	18.4	17.3	17.0	16.3
PHI	17.7	17.6	17.8	15.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	35	35	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.14	16	-19	35	14.0	17.9	-3.86	18.3	16.4	1.93
Vince Carter	36	37	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.07	10	-13	23	14.1	17.9	-3.80	17.6	16.9	0.65
Nenad Krstic	42	42	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.03	8	-11	19	15.0	17.6	-2.62	17.7	16.7	0.96
John Thomas	9	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-2	1	17.7	16.1	1.54	17.6	17.2	0.41
Jacque Vaughn	69	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.38	9	-12	21	15.6	19.1	-3.52	17.3	16.7	0.63
Lamond Murray	63	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-9	15	15.7	18.0	-2.33	17.6	16.1	1.46
Clifford Robinson	29	30	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	14	-31	18.6	15.1	3.46	16.6	17.5	-0.92
Zoran Planinic	45	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	5	-13	18.1	14.3	3.87	16.9	17.5	-0.61
Derrick Zimmerman	19	17	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.13	-17	14	-31	17.8	15.9	1.92	15.2	17.7	-2.52
Bostjan Nachbar	39	39	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.41	-10	7	-17	17.7	15.1	2.66	16.6	17.7	-1.11
Scott Padgett	44	44	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.38	-11	8	-19	17.6	15.0	2.62	16.7	17.7	-0.96

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	48	48	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-12	27	16.5	18.1	-1.58	16.8	15.6	1.18
Kyle Korver	47	46	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	-1	5	16.1	18.5	-2.36	17.3	15.2	2.09
Willie Green	51	51	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-2	7	17.3	17.1	0.14	16.3	16.3	-0.09
Andre Iguodala	77	77	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.50	0	3	-3	17.1	18.3	-1.27	16.0	18.7	-2.65
Shavlik Randolph	31	32	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	-7	17	16.9	17.3	-0.41	16.3	16.3	0.03
Michael Bradley	27	27	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	-6	15	17.7	17.0	0.68	18.5	15.3	3.19
Lou Williams	22	23	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-7	17	16.6	17.4	-0.82	18.8	15.4	3.46
John Salmons	55	55	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.21	-15	18	-33	17.5	16.6	0.86	14.8	19.0	-4.24
Steven Hunter	27	26	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	13	-23	19.4	16.2	3.17	15.3	16.7	-1.35
Samuel Dalembert	45	45	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	16	-29	17.7	16.6	1.12	15.0	17.7	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.78,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.4%
NYK 76, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	92.3%
MEM 95, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.2%