inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 95 Excitement6.8 [435] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +18.1%
Los Angeles Lakers 103 Comeback8.6 [309] LVPJason Williams (MEM): -19.6%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0.030,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.10-0.010.051573%0.113-0.0800%0.00
Theron Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00267%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Bo Outlaw-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.030.00478%0.051-0.051100%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.02-0.012048%-0.0100.00475%-0.03
James Posey-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.001261%0.062-0.07743%-0.06
Shane Battier-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.00267%0.011-0.0520%-0.05
Earl Watson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.0320%-0.052-0.0200%0.00
Jake Tsakalidis-0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00442%-0.061-0.01425%-0.06
Stromile Swift-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01731%-0.071-0.02250%-0.02
Jason Williams-0.200,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.21-0.01-0.021625%-0.085-0.1100%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.070.10-0.001472%0.232-0.051136%-0.11
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.07-0.00550%0.0900.0000%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.00760%0.082-0.076100%0.07
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.002100%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.030.00450%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.020.032354%0.013-0.091593%0.08
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.02217%-0.042-0.04250%-0.03
Karl Malone0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01857%0.014-0.10580%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.630.616.433.32.432.7142.5
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +11.5%
LAL +33.6%
MEM -7.0%
LAL +11.2%
LAL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMLALNBAMEMLALNBA
this game15.014.815.799.0106.2100.5
season15.315.4102.3102.8
opponent15.615.799.0100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.615.117.013.515.0
LAL13.712.616.417.014.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier46470.02-0.520.540.020-8815.414.70.6314.215.4-1.19
Theron Smith810-0.01-0.490.490.05-2-6416.414.91.4514.514.8-0.34
Earl Watson2423-0.13-0.370.23-0.04-3-5216.214.71.5014.314.9-0.60
Jake Tsakalidis4645-0.14-0.360.22-0.202-101214.815.2-0.4115.714.01.73
Stromile Swift5253-0.16-0.340.17-0.07-3-5215.414.60.7914.415.3-0.90
Bo Outlaw4444-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.19-5-3-214.615.4-0.7915.314.40.90
Lorenzen Wright5052-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-102-1215.214.80.4114.015.7-1.73
Jason Williams7274-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.22-5-3-214.716.2-1.5014.914.30.60
Mike Miller7576-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.34-5-3-214.816.0-1.2314.615.4-0.80
James Posey6361-0.530.03-0.55-0.26-91-1015.015.2-0.2615.513.61.99

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant90890.58-0.080.670.2312-41614.716.6-1.9015.312.13.13
Gary Payton72720.470.030.440.0614-62014.316.3-2.0415.513.71.72
Kareem Rush41420.420.080.340.2271615.514.31.1413.816.0-2.19
Shaquille O'Neal86870.410.090.320.1880814.913.81.1115.411.34.09
Derek Fisher35350.310.190.130.1753214.914.70.2214.715.2-0.52
Slava Medvedenko21200.210.29-0.080.1235-214.314.9-0.6613.715.4-1.63
Karl Malone74710.210.29-0.080.0362414.615.4-0.8315.214.60.60
Luke Walton10100.190.31-0.110.1617-617.114.52.5614.515.1-0.60
Bryon Russell33-0.080.58-0.660.03-412-1612.014.9-2.8914.715.1-0.39
Devean George4038-0.110.61-0.730.03-513-1815.614.21.3515.514.70.80
Rick Fox1313-0.120.62-0.740.08-715-2213.815.0-1.2013.615.3-1.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 94, OKC 1050.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.96,1,192.3%
NJN 88, PHI 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.98,192.2%
MIN 104, TOR 1090.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.85,191.9%