NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	88		Excitement	6.2 [571]		MVP	Armen Gilliam (UTA): +12.5%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.4 [1033]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -18.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	11	62%	0.19	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	80%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	17	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Pat Garrity	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	7	69%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	14	47%	-0.05	1	-0.02	12	58%	-0.05
Corey Maggette	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	3	20%	-0.09	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	5	80%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	12	54%	0.11	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	8	48%	0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Olden Polynice	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	61%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.05	0.02	20	40%	-0.11	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	32.4	15.7	27.6	1.8	38.2	143.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +2.4%

UTA +11.2%

UTA +11.9%

UTA +18.2%

UTA +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.6	18.3	15.2	96.7	106.7	101.7
season	13.6	16.3		100.4	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.6	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	13.0	14.5	14.0	13.6
UTA	16.4	18.3	19.8	18.7	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	53	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-9	10	14.0	13.0	1.02	18.9	17.4	1.44
Ron Mercer	72	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-13	18	13.2	15.1	-1.84	17.7	20.4	-2.74
Ben Wallace	62	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.16	-1	-7	6	13.7	13.3	0.42	18.1	18.6	-0.49
Michael Doleac	34	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	1	-10	12.2	14.4	-2.26	17.5	18.8	-1.31
Darrell Armstrong	63	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-6	4	13.5	13.8	-0.28	18.0	18.8	-0.83
John Amaechi	57	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-9	10	14.4	12.2	2.26	18.8	17.5	1.31
Pat Garrity	27	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-2	-4	13.7	13.6	0.10	18.5	18.2	0.34
Corey Maggette	18	17	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	2	-12	14.8	13.3	1.48	21.4	17.5	3.82
Monty Williams	24	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	3	-14	13.3	13.7	-0.35	17.3	18.6	-1.31
Chucky Atkins	45	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	13.3	13.9	-0.65	18.2	18.3	-0.14

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Lewis	24	24	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-6	20	18.8	18.0	0.79	13.2	13.7	-0.47
Greg Ostertag	46	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	2	4	17.4	19.1	-1.72	12.9	14.2	-1.31
John Stockton	53	54	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	5	-2	18.4	18.0	0.39	14.1	12.9	1.23
Jeff Hornacek	59	59	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	3	2	18.1	18.6	-0.59	13.7	13.3	0.43
Karl Malone	67	67	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	9	-10	18.2	18.5	-0.36	13.4	14.1	-0.67
Armen Gilliam	23	24	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.02	9	-1	10	18.5	18.2	0.36	14.1	13.4	0.67
Howard Eisley	54	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	6	-4	17.5	19.4	-1.84	12.5	15.2	-2.64
Jacque Vaughn	14	15	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	2	4	21.4	17.7	3.67	15.1	13.3	1.76
Olden Polynice	44	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	6	-4	19.1	17.4	1.72	14.2	12.9	1.31
Bryon Russell	66	67	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.25	-6	14	-20	18.0	18.8	-0.79	13.7	13.2	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.72,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.76,0.85,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 79, SAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.85,1	93.8%
NJN 106, ATL 111	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	93.7%
DET 82, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.95,1	93.6%