NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	79		Excitement	7.0 [405]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +8.5%
San Antonio Spurs	84		Comeback	1.3 [1081]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -22.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Qyntel Woods	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04	0.06	-0.12	-0.02	14	67%	0.08	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.03
Jeff McInnis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	46%	0.00	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	16	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.06	-0.00	16	35%	-0.11	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	71%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	10	45%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.08	-0.01	9	65%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.11
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	13	54%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	8	59%	0.10	4	-0.19	1	0%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.07	-0.01	14	32%	-0.14	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	25.4	16.7	25.0	2.4	32.5	126.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +42.2%

POR -12.1%

SAS +32.3%

POR -15.1%

SAS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.4	15.5	90.8	95.5	101.6
season	16.0	15.7		104.3	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		96.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.2	19.8	14.0	15.8	16.6
SAS	14.1	17.2	17.3	16.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Qyntel Woods	17	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.08	1	-6	7	17.2	16.4	0.76	17.4	16.1	1.30
Damon Stoudamire	60	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.33	7	-12	19	16.2	17.3	-1.06	16.7	15.6	1.19
Arvydas Sabonis	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	0	-5	18.2	16.3	1.87	16.3	16.4	-0.05
Zach Randolph	23	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-2	-1	15.3	17.0	-1.65	15.3	16.7	-1.46
Jeff McInnis	32	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-1	-3	17.0	16.3	0.74	16.8	16.1	0.79
Antonio Daniels	16	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.13	-13	8	-21	17.5	16.4	1.15	13.4	17.0	-3.64
Dale Davis	62	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-5	5	16.7	16.2	0.45	16.7	15.6	1.05
Rasheed Wallace	75	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-4	3	16.7	15.6	1.14	16.6	14.7	1.95
Derek Anderson	72	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	16.2	18.5	-2.30	16.2	17.2	-1.03
Bonzi Wells	65	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	2	-9	16.5	16.8	-0.28	16.1	16.9	-0.78

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	58	56	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-6	17	16.2	16.6	-0.38	17.0	15.8	1.23
Stephen Jackson	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	5	-5	16.8	14.4	2.42	16.2	18.2	-1.99
Manu Ginobili	49	50	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-5	15	16.1	16.6	-0.47	16.2	17.0	-0.76
Tim Duncan	82	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	5	-5	16.3	16.8	-0.52	16.3	20.2	-3.87
Tony Parker	62	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	7	-9	17.2	14.3	2.96	17.5	14.3	3.16
Speedy Claxton	26	26	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-2	9	14.3	17.2	-2.96	14.3	17.5	-3.16
Bruce Bowen	56	55	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	4	-3	15.7	17.5	-1.75	16.9	16.0	0.84
David Robinson	35	35	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	7	-9	17.1	15.9	1.17	17.2	16.1	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.72,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.76,0.85,0.94,1,1	93.8%
DEN 101, VAN 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.6,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.76,0.91,1	93.6%
TOR 89, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	93.1%