NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	106		Excitement	6.5 [302]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +7.4%
Atlanta Hawks	111		Comeback	1.1 [654]		LVP	Scott Burrell (NJN): -14.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Murdock	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jayson Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	61%	0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	23	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.05
Jim McIlvaine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	22	57%	0.03	4	-0.12	19	89%	0.07
Scott Burrell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	9	11%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	9	72%	0.13	2	-0.05	21	86%	0.04
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.05
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.03	13	47%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ed Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	71%	0.04	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	60%	-0.00	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	30.2	15.7	32.2	1.8	43.2	149.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +25.8%

ATL +24.8%

ATL +5.7%

NJN -6.7%

ATL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	15.8	109.3	113.3	99.6
season	15.0	16.7		96.5	97.2
opponent	16.3	15.6		94.9	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.5	13.8	13.5	16.3	14.4
ATL	14.8	14.5	14.2	17.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Evans	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-6	7	19.7	14.0	5.69	9.9	15.5	-5.65
Jim McIlvaine	34	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-7	9	12.9	15.3	-2.34	11.7	17.0	-5.36
Lucious Harris	31	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-6	7	13.4	14.9	-1.54	15.1	15.1	-0.06
Eric Murdock	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-5	5	12.9	15.3	-2.34	13.4	16.0	-2.60
Kendall Gill	77	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-7	9	14.0	16.1	-2.10	16.1	11.6	4.49
Chris Gatling	29	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-3	1	14.4	14.4	0.02	12.8	16.1	-3.23
Keith Van Horn	78	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-6	7	14.2	15.5	-1.36	16.2	10.7	5.48
Sam Cassell	84	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	14.0	17.2	-3.23	15.8	10.9	4.95
Jayson Williams	63	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	2	-9	15.3	12.9	2.34	17.0	11.7	5.36
Scott Burrell	48	48	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.09	-20	15	-35	17.3	11.6	5.66	14.0	16.2	-2.24

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	66	67	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-6	17	16.7	11.8	4.93	15.2	12.7	2.51
Steven Smith	75	75	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-5	15	14.5	17.2	-2.76	14.5	14.2	0.32
LaPhonso Ellis	74	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	-3	11	15.1	15.2	-0.14	14.4	14.6	-0.26
Dikembe Mutombo	61	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	-3	11	16.0	13.5	2.51	15.0	13.5	1.48
Alan Henderson	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.26	2	3	-1	16.4	12.8	3.54	13.8	15.6	-1.73
Grant Long	40	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	2	1	13.2	16.4	-3.26	15.4	13.8	1.62
Mark West	32	31	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	8	-11	13.2	16.0	-2.80	13.4	14.9	-1.54
Anthony Johnson	40	37	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	9	-13	12.2	17.1	-4.86	13.1	15.3	-2.23
Tyrone Corbin	18	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	9	-13	16.2	14.9	1.30	14.7	14.4	0.36
Ed Gray	21	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	11	-17	17.0	14.6	2.48	14.1	14.5	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MEM 109, GSW 115	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.83,0.99,0.99,1	94.5%
NYK 73, MIA 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	94.2%