NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	109		Excitement	7.1 [406]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +14.4%
Golden State Warriors	115		Comeback	1.1 [943]		LVP	Xavier Henry (MEM): -11.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14	0.17	0.02	0.04	23	70%	0.22	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	20	55%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Acie Law	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	13	55%	0.04	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
Hamed Haddadi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	5	62%	0.02	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Xavier Henry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.01	17	68%	0.19	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	26	55%	0.20	4	-0.12	19	74%	-0.01
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.00	11	59%	0.18	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	17	38%	-0.04	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	29%	-0.03	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.5	32.4	16.3	26.3	2.4	40.6	150.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +7.5%

GSW +15.8%

GSW +21.4%

MEM -1.0%

GSW +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	13.2	14.8	15.5	104.8	112.7	105.7
season	15.5	14.8		106.1	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.0	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.9	14.0	13.5	12.6	13.2
GSW	14.9	16.0	14.2	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hasheem Thabeet	21	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-7	8	14.9	12.8	2.13	14.8	14.8	0.09
Darrell Arthur	61	60	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.23	8	-14	22	12.6	14.0	-1.40	15.3	14.0	1.40
Acie Law	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-6	6	13.1	13.2	-0.08	16.9	14.6	2.28
Hamed Haddadi	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	0	-6	12.5	13.3	-0.78	13.6	14.9	-1.30
Tony Allen	8	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	1	-8	14.9	13.1	1.81	16.6	14.6	1.95
Xavier Henry	25	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	14.1	12.9	1.16	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Marc Gasol	68	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-10	14	12.9	13.7	-0.75	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Sam Young	41	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	0	-6	13.4	13.0	0.39	14.7	14.8	-0.16
O.J. Mayo	82	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	1	-8	13.0	14.0	-0.95	14.5	15.7	-1.25
Mike Conley	97	94	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	0	-6	13.2	13.7	-0.55	14.6	16.9	-2.28
Rudy Gay	99	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.2	13.2	0.00	14.8	13.8	1.02

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	92	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.4	17.8	-3.35	13.1	14.4	-1.36
Reggie Williams	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-2	10	15.1	14.2	0.92	13.7	12.2	1.52
Vladimir Radmanovic	34	33	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	-8	22	14.9	14.7	0.16	13.5	13.1	0.41
Monta Ellis	90	92	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	0	6	14.9	14.1	0.78	13.3	12.3	0.98
Charlie Bell	26	26	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	-1	8	15.8	14.4	1.39	13.2	13.2	0.04
David Lee	79	82	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.37	-5	11	-16	14.7	14.9	-0.18	13.0	14.0	-1.01
Dan Gadzuric	14	13	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	1	4	13.1	15.0	-1.97	11.9	13.4	-1.46
Rodney Carney	43	43	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	8	-10	15.0	14.6	0.39	12.7	13.6	-0.94
Andris Biedrins	63	66	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.27	-9	15	-24	14.6	15.1	-0.49	13.4	12.8	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.83,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 106, ATL 111	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	94.5%
UTA 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	93.8%
DEN 88, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.99,1,1	93.5%