NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	4.8 [856]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): +20.2%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	1.1 [889]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): -18.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	9	76%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
George Hill	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.19	0.03	0.07	11	95%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	41%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	11	52%	0.03	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	32%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
David West	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	12	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Luis Scola	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	39%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Damjan Rudez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.07	0.04	10	86%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	9	90%	0.17	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	8	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	17	38%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	14	39%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	10	33%	-0.06	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	26.8	15.5	23.6	2.4	30.5	122.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.7%

BOS +5.0%

BOS +6.4%

BOS +4.5%

BOS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.1	92.6	104.2	104.2
season	16.0	14.3		102.3	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.0		103.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	17.0	14.5	13.7	14.9
BOS	15.0	14.5	14.9	17.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	18	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-13	13	16.8	14.4	2.37	11.8	16.2	-4.40
Solomon Hill	51	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.05	-3	-10	7	14.3	15.6	-1.33	15.8	15.0	0.85
Roy Hibbert	39	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-5	-3	14.8	14.9	-0.11	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Damjan Rudez	27	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	17.0	14.0	3.00	15.9	15.3	0.58
CJ Watson	41	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	-11	9	15.1	14.7	0.46	15.6	15.3	0.24
George Hill	72	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-7	1	14.4	16.3	-1.90	15.2	16.3	-1.07
Luis Scola	38	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-7	1	15.6	14.3	1.29	15.3	15.6	-0.29
David West	56	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	14.3	15.6	-1.29	15.6	15.3	0.29
Ian Mahinmi	32	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-7	1	14.5	15.0	-0.55	16.6	14.8	1.76
Rodney Stuckey	38	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-4	-5	15.3	14.6	0.72	15.4	15.5	-0.09
CJ Miles	58	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	0	-13	14.1	16.0	-1.89	15.7	15.1	0.61

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-1	15	15.7	14.8	0.94	15.2	14.1	1.02
Evan Turner	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	0	13	15.5	15.4	0.06	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Kelly Olynyk	42	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	2	9	15.2	15.6	-0.42	15.5	14.4	1.11
Jae Crowder	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	7	-1	16.3	14.7	1.62	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Isaiah Thomas	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	7	-1	16.0	15.1	0.90	14.9	14.8	0.12
Brandon Bass	59	57	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	8	-3	15.2	15.9	-0.77	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Jonas Jerebko	37	37	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	5	3	15.9	15.2	0.77	15.5	14.5	1.03
Tyler Zeller	49	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	8	-3	15.1	15.9	-0.79	14.7	15.0	-0.23
Avery Bradley	66	64	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	16	-19	14.7	17.2	-2.50	14.6	15.4	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SAC 107, WAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
IND 100, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%