NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	4.5 [895]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): +9.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	112		Comeback	1.2 [800]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -7.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	18	64%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	16	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	14	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	15	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	15	68%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.03	-0.04	8	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	11	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	18	53%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	10	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	5	72%	0.05	7	-0.12	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	26.0	17.8	25.3	2.4	24.5	123.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.2%

LAC +9.4%

POR -6.2%

POR -1.6%

LAC +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	17.7	15.6	107.8	127.3	102.3
season	16.0	15.9		105.0	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.1	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	15.2	13.7	16.0	14.7
LAC	16.3	14.8	18.5	21.9	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	10.3	14.9	-4.55	23.0	17.5	5.53
Steve Kerr	8	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-14	13	13.5	14.9	-1.35	18.7	17.6	1.15
Shawn Kemp	11	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.03	-3	-12	9	16.3	14.5	1.75	14.9	18.1	-3.14
Chris Dudley	8	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-12	9	16.0	14.6	1.39	20.6	17.4	3.16
Dale Davis	45	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-12	9	14.3	15.2	-0.93	17.1	18.2	-1.11
Rick Brunson	15	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-6	-3	13.0	15.1	-2.08	16.9	17.8	-0.95
Scottie Pippen	55	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-12	9	15.2	14.1	1.11	19.1	15.3	3.85
Derek Anderson	32	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-5	-5	14.4	14.9	-0.51	14.5	19.4	-4.80
Ruben Patterson	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-7	-1	14.5	15.5	-1.01	16.9	20.1	-3.20
Damon Stoudamire	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-8	1	15.1	13.6	1.46	17.9	16.6	1.39
Rasheed Wallace	70	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-6	-3	14.7	14.9	-0.21	18.2	15.7	2.52
Bonzi Wells	65	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	2	-19	15.2	13.6	1.51	18.2	16.3	1.82

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	61	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-2	19	18.4	15.9	2.55	15.1	14.0	1.12
Darius Miles	53	53	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	1	13	18.0	17.1	0.86	15.1	14.2	0.88
Elton Brand	77	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	4	7	17.8	16.6	1.17	14.9	13.5	1.35
Earl Boykins	36	38	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	5	5	16.7	18.3	-1.63	14.9	14.6	0.37
Corey Maggette	59	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	7	1	16.6	19.9	-3.29	14.8	14.6	0.20
Jeff McInnis	63	64	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	9	-3	18.4	15.8	2.65	14.5	15.4	-0.97
Eric Piatkowski	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	12	-9	17.7	17.6	0.12	14.1	15.4	-1.36
Obinna Ekezie	10	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	10	-5	19.7	17.4	2.30	15.6	14.6	1.03
Sean Rooks	35	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	14	-13	16.3	18.6	-2.33	14.0	15.2	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
BKN 91, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.8%
HOU 83, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,1,1,1	94.7%