NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	83		Excitement	4.9 [672]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): +8.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	93		Comeback	1.4 [655]		LVP	Chandler Parsons (HOU): -9.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	16	59%	0.16	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.04
Jordan Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Kevin Martin	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	10	43%	0.02	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	11	41%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.03	9	78%	0.18	6	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	15	62%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.02	15	59%	0.12	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	11	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	0.1	29.5	15.7	28.3	2.7	35.0	134.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +42.1%

HOU -4.8%

HOU -3.0%

MEM +13.2%

MEM +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	16.4	16.5	15.6	94.3	106.9	102.8
season	15.4	15.6		103.5	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.1	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.3	16.5	17.2	14.7	16.4
MEM	16.1	17.0	16.3	16.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.00	-1	-9	8	19.7	16.1	3.62	16.0	16.6	-0.58
Chase Budinger	21	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-10	10	19.1	15.5	3.56	15.4	16.9	-1.51
Goran Dragic	32	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-8	6	15.2	17.1	-1.93	17.4	16.0	1.39
Patrick Patterson	46	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	16.8	16.0	0.83	16.2	16.9	-0.66
Kevin Martin	36	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-4	-2	15.2	17.2	-1.97	16.9	16.3	0.65
Courtney Lee	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	17.2	15.2	1.97	16.3	16.9	-0.65
Samuel Dalembert	50	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	0	-10	16.1	16.8	-0.76	17.1	15.8	1.31
Chandler Parsons	61	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	17.0	15.0	2.00	16.1	17.5	-1.38
Luis Scola	61	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	0	-10	15.6	18.1	-2.54	17.0	15.4	1.63
Kyle Lowry	74	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	15.9	18.7	-2.77	16.3	17.9	-1.58

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	-3	16	17.1	14.4	2.70	15.9	18.0	-2.15
Tony Allen	59	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-2	14	16.1	17.4	-1.33	16.4	16.4	-0.06
Rudy Gay	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	3	4	17.1	13.9	3.22	15.8	18.9	-3.12
Dante Cunningham	47	46	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	5	0	16.1	17.1	-1.01	15.4	17.5	-2.04
Marc Gasol	69	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	4	2	16.4	17.1	-0.66	15.8	18.5	-2.73
Marreese Speights	51	54	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	3	4	17.5	15.1	2.47	17.6	14.4	3.22
O.J. Mayo	40	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	8	-6	16.6	16.5	0.13	17.8	15.2	2.61
Quincy Pondexter	19	18	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	8	-6	14.4	17.1	-2.70	17.9	16.0	1.89
Jeremy Pargo	11	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	14	-18	12.9	17.1	-4.14	17.2	16.3	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
NOH 93, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1	95.5%
PHI 93, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	95.5%