NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	7.1 [395]		MVP	Randy Livingston (PHX): +8.9%
San Antonio Spurs	89		Comeback	10.2 [48]		LVP	Mario Elie (SAS): -17.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Livingston	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	5	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	16	41%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	15	69%	0.17	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Rex Chapman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	20	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.02	0.01	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	14	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	16	65%	0.04	2	-0.04	16	81%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.08	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	7	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	9	20%	-0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.5	26.4	15.7	26.3	2.4	36.4	133.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.1%

SAS -2.1%

SAS -0.8%

PHX +13.3%

SAS -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	15.2	100.0	90.8	101.7
season	14.8	15.5		101.4	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.3		95.9	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	13.2	15.3	12.6	13.7
SAS	14.9	15.0	15.4	17.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	82	79	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.20	26	-17	43	12.9	17.9	-4.96	15.3	17.4	-2.12
Rex Chapman	41	39	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.10	26	-17	43	12.3	14.8	-2.50	16.2	15.3	0.90
Tom Gugliotta	88	89	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	5	-1	13.8	12.8	1.03	15.7	15.1	0.61
Clifford Robinson	78	78	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	5	-1	13.9	12.9	0.97	16.0	14.3	1.71
Randy Livingston	20	20	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	5	-1	13.1	13.9	-0.72	13.1	16.3	-3.16
Jason Kidd	78	78	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	4	1	13.9	13.1	0.72	16.3	13.1	3.16
Shawn Marion	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	4	1	13.3	13.9	-0.60	14.0	16.2	-2.29
Anfernee Hardaway	62	63	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.32	-12	21	-33	14.5	12.4	2.02	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Luc Longley	16	19	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	0.04	-17	26	-43	17.9	12.9	4.96	17.4	15.3	2.12

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Kersey	41	38	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.10	7	-16	23	16.3	15.2	1.04	15.4	12.6	2.81
Felton Spencer	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-9	9	0.0	15.7	-15.66	13.0	13.7	-0.73
Tim Duncan	27	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-5	1	15.1	15.9	-0.76	14.0	13.6	0.33
David Robinson	80	81	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-13	17	16.0	14.0	2.04	14.1	11.9	2.16
Antonio Daniels	28	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-10	11	14.3	16.2	-1.93	13.0	14.0	-0.96
Mario Elie	59	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	16.6	14.2	2.46	14.4	12.6	1.83
Malik Rose	74	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-3	-3	15.5	16.1	-0.56	13.8	13.4	0.44
Avery Johnson	70	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	1	-11	16.2	14.3	1.93	14.0	13.0	0.96
Samaki Walker	12	10	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	1	-11	15.5	15.7	-0.19	9.6	14.2	-4.59
Terry Porter	54	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	-1	-7	15.0	16.5	-1.44	13.1	14.5	-1.32
Jaren Jackson	45	45	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.18	-14	5	-19	14.5	16.6	-2.09	12.0	15.2	-3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.39,0.26,0.07,0.1,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, ATL 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.07,0.11,0,0	91.8%
POR 105, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.2,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.02,0	91.4%
SAS 106, MIN 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.17,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	91.4%