NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	5.3 [737]		MVP	Vonteego Cummings (GSW): +8.1%
Golden State Warriors	112		Comeback	1.7 [684]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -17.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ike Austin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	58%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Laron Profit	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jahidi White	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.01	3	-0.06	15	47%	-0.08
Michael Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.01	7	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.02	16	30%	-0.14	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.00	-0.06	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	12	62%	0.11	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	68%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	18	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	12	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	7	53%	0.05	5	-0.10	3	67%	0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	-0.03	21	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.4	28.4	15.4	30.5	2.4	26.3	127.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +45.2%

WAS -0.1%

GSW +6.5%

WAS -5.0%

GSW +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	GSW	NBA	WAS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.1	13.6	15.2	100.0	106.7	101.7
season	15.5	14.7		101.1	97.2
opponent	14.7	14.8		105.8	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	15.5	12.8	13.4	14.1
GSW	12.9	13.3	12.4	15.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	9.1	14.5	-5.32	15.0	13.5	1.50
Michael Smith	47	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-12	15	13.1	14.9	-1.78	12.1	14.8	-2.70
Jahidi White	65	68	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.20	6	-15	21	14.2	14.0	0.20	13.2	14.3	-1.08
Richard Hamilton	28	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-14	19	11.5	15.1	-3.52	13.1	13.8	-0.72
Juwan Howard	80	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-6	3	14.3	13.4	0.85	13.0	15.5	-2.46
Chris Whitney	47	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-7	5	14.3	13.9	0.33	15.1	12.3	2.78
Mitch Richmond	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	2	-13	15.4	13.2	2.17	13.0	14.0	-0.92
Aaron Williams	33	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	0	-9	16.2	13.1	3.16	16.2	12.4	3.77
Ike Austin	25	24	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	4	-17	14.8	13.9	0.98	15.9	12.9	2.95
Rod Strickland	81	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	4	-17	14.3	13.5	0.76	13.5	14.0	-0.51
Tracy Murray	60	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.12	-14	5	-19	13.5	14.9	-1.31	13.1	14.4	-1.34

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vonteego Cummings	46	44	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-6	21	14.9	12.6	2.38	14.5	13.8	0.74
Billy Owens	57	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-11	31	13.4	13.8	-0.43	14.8	13.2	1.55
Larry Hughes	87	86	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	2	5	13.3	15.2	-1.89	13.8	15.5	-1.65
Donyell Marshall	77	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	2	5	13.2	14.7	-1.47	13.7	15.2	-1.49
Jason Caffey	68	69	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	-3	15	13.8	13.2	0.55	15.3	11.7	3.57
Mookie Blaylock	82	78	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	4	1	13.1	15.5	-2.41	14.1	14.2	-0.08
Adonal Foyle	28	24	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.20	-3	12	-15	13.6	13.6	0.06	12.3	14.6	-2.30
Sam Jacobson	22	21	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	12	-15	13.3	13.7	-0.41	14.4	14.0	0.36
Erick Dampier	48	51	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	12	-15	14.7	12.7	2.00	14.7	13.5	1.13
Tony Farmer	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	12.8	13.6	-0.84	6.4	14.5	-8.09
Sam Mack	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	12.8	13.6	-0.84	6.4	14.5	-8.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, DEN 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 96, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 84, CHH 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%