NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	3.8 [1057]		MVP	Mo Williams (MIL): +20.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	102		Comeback	1.2 [1062]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -15.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelden Williams	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	73%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.02	13	66%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.02	16	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Esteban Batista	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	47%	-0.02	3	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	16	41%	-0.05	6	-0.10	9	78%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.03	-0.06	20	65%	0.23	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.02	13	59%	0.16	2	-0.04	13	54%	-0.05
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	10	70%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lynn Greer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Reiner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damir Markota	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	4	36%	-0.00	4	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
David Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	7	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	25.5	15.4	23.0	1.8	30.4	124.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +49.1%

ATL -5.0%

MIL +0.3%

MIL +3.6%

MIL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.4	104.3	110.9	104.5
season	16.1	15.2		101.1	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		109.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.3	16.4	15.5	15.0	16.1
MIL	14.0	14.9	17.3	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Esteban Batista	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-4	2	16.9	15.9	1.07	14.4	15.4	-0.98
Slava Medvedenko	15	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-4	2	17.9	15.7	2.17	14.0	15.5	-1.51
Lorenzen Wright	5	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-2	-2	21.4	15.7	5.65	10.2	15.6	-5.44
Solomon Jones	22	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	2	-10	14.3	16.6	-2.28	15.4	15.2	0.17
Tyronn Lue	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	3	-12	16.9	15.2	1.63	15.5	15.0	0.45
Royal Ivey	80	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-8	10	15.8	17.6	-1.76	15.8	11.6	4.22
Shelden Williams	78	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-8	10	16.0	16.4	-0.36	15.6	13.3	2.29
Anthony Johnson	50	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	-1	-4	15.3	17.0	-1.65	14.2	16.4	-2.18
Josh Smith	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-4	2	16.4	14.5	1.87	15.4	14.7	0.67
Marvin Williams	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-4	2	15.6	17.8	-2.19	15.5	14.2	1.28

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.10	19	-13	32	15.9	13.6	2.27	15.9	16.6	-0.75
Earl Boykins	62	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-8	22	15.4	15.0	0.37	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Jared Reiner	38	39	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.17	18	-12	30	14.5	15.8	-1.32	16.3	15.9	0.35
Dan Gadzuric	52	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	-9	24	16.6	13.5	3.05	16.7	15.2	1.56
Mo Williams	75	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.49	-6	12	-18	15.8	12.9	2.83	15.9	16.9	-1.09
Ruben Patterson	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	-1	8	15.1	15.5	-0.40	16.8	14.9	1.91
Lynn Greer	35	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	10	-14	14.6	15.7	-1.10	16.1	16.0	0.10
Ersan Ilyasova	31	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.40	-10	16	-26	12.9	16.4	-3.49	15.7	16.2	-0.58
David Noel	29	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.39	-10	16	-26	14.9	15.4	-0.47	16.2	16.0	0.17
Damir Markota	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	19	-32	14.2	15.4	-1.28	12.6	16.6	-3.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 80, SEA 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIL 82, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAL 95, BOS 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%