inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 82 Excitement3.6 [1077] MVPCorliss Williamson (DET): +3.4%
Detroit Pistons 108 Comeback1.1 [1159] LVPMichael Redd (MIL): -14.1%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03444%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Daniel Santiago0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Haislip0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Smith-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.01560%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Toni Kukoc-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.01467%0.021-0.02450%-0.02
Erick Strickland-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.000.04856%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Keith Van Horn-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.10-0.00-0.091135%-0.013-0.011100%0.00
Damon Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02844%-0.003-0.0400%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01350%-0.002-0.052100%0.01
Desmond Mason-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.021547%-0.003-0.054100%0.02
Brian Skinner-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00650%0.003-0.0700%0.00
Michael Redd-0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.15-0.01-0.021048%-0.017-0.133100%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.041150%0.041-0.002100%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.05437%0.0210.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.050.01-0.061355%0.043-0.031292%0.02
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01467%0.0100.00450%-0.01
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.071271%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.01-0.061535%0.0000.00475%0.01
Darvin Ham00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.011252%-0.0010.003100%0.01
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02250%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.020.041553%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.034.219.533.53.630.4151.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +6.1%
DET +4.7%
DET +11.8%
DET +27.4%
DET +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDETNBAMILDETNBA
this game14.015.115.782.8109.1100.5
season15.316.2103.699.2
opponent16.015.592.6103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL16.314.313.212.614.0
DET15.715.013.516.215.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daniel Santiago220.00-0.500.50-0.031-272813.514.1-0.558.515.2-6.69
Marcus Haislip660.00-0.500.50-0.062-283015.014.01.0211.715.3-3.60
Erick Strickland4343-0.03-0.470.440.18-7-191212.115.6-3.4816.813.73.08
Toni Kukoc4142-0.12-0.380.270.12-8-181013.014.7-1.6916.014.41.57
Brevin Knight3132-0.14-0.360.230.25-13-13015.613.32.2415.115.00.02
Dan Gadzuric2020-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-211615.313.71.5812.515.7-3.20
Keith Van Horn6566-0.24-0.260.030.17-14-12-213.016.0-2.9415.414.40.98
Brian Skinner3736-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-12-14216.512.63.8614.315.5-1.21
Damon Jones6060-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-12-14213.614.6-0.9915.214.80.34
Desmond Mason7979-0.36-0.14-0.230.28-22-4-1813.914.7-0.8916.011.44.51
Joe Smith5049-0.39-0.11-0.270.17-19-7-1214.613.51.1314.515.6-1.11
Michael Redd6160-0.510.01-0.520.11-21-5-1614.613.21.4313.817.0-3.17

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasheed Wallace59590.480.020.45-0.292602614.915.3-0.3814.912.82.08
Ben Wallace79770.450.050.40-0.292512415.214.60.5614.113.80.34
Chauncey Billups68680.340.160.18-0.392512415.613.81.8114.812.42.36
Tayshaun Prince71710.330.170.17-0.372422215.414.21.2214.512.91.60
Richard Hamilton75750.320.180.14-0.151610615.712.92.8213.914.6-0.72
Lindsey Hunter35350.180.32-0.14-0.02719-1213.915.7-1.7112.714.8-2.05
Mike James25250.160.34-0.180.10224-2214.315.3-0.9811.814.8-3.00
Corliss Williamson41420.160.34-0.19-0.05719-1215.714.61.0813.414.5-1.06
Mehmet Okur20190.050.45-0.390.08-127-2813.315.5-2.1913.814.1-0.31
Darvin Ham780.020.48-0.460.05-127-2810.015.4-5.4312.914.1-1.27
Elden Campbell9100.010.49-0.48-0.02125-2415.915.00.9215.213.91.29
Darko Milicic660.000.50-0.500.03-127-2811.715.3-3.6015.014.01.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 81, SAS 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
POR 63, NOH 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
PHX 93, ORL 1030.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,196.6%